Opposition Claims 4 Jets Shot down Today – The Alawite Existential Dilemma

Opposition claims a total of 4 jets and a helicopter shot down today

Comment by Syrialover November 28th, 2012, 6:29 am said:

Joshua, you are buying into nonesense giving headlines to those claiming they’ll turn Syria into an Islamist state.

They might be helping to kick Assad hard, but they have also gotten in the way of the rebellion by providing an unhelpful distraction and excuse for support to be withheld.

The bottom line is they are arrogantly attempting a free ride on the backs of the majority of Syrians who have sacrificed and suffered for other ideals in this revolution.

I don’t believe it will achieve traction other than nuisance value once the dust settles.

Political Islam is a quick-and-dirty, ignorant, and above all, lazy route to claiming power. That’s what’s wrong with the MB.

Some claim it may have to run its course. Why? It would be another pointless disaster that wastes time and resources and stops the clock.

The economy, investment, employment, education, infrastructure development, modern legal and bureaucratic systems, foreign relations, trade, you name it would sit in the trash bin while self-appointed amateurs fool around with the lives of Syrians.

Hanzala said: November 28th, 2012, 6:52 am

I think the chances of Syria becoming an Islamic state after Assad are very high.. Dawla Islamiyya fil Sham.

Even FSA groups that started out as relatively moderate have started to take a strong Islamic leaning.
The FSA have made it this far without Western backing, and I believe they can go even further.

davidfrum@davidfrum

Do we have grounds for confidence that the Syrian rebels will represent an improvement over the regime? In ME, worse is always possible.

Mike Doran@Doranimated  .@tcwittes @davidfrum If it only deals a strategic blow to Iran and Hezbollah it’s a huge win, sez I.

Syria Debate between Radwan Ziadeh, Ayssar Midani, Joshua landis Claude Guibal, Ole Solvang is online – France 24 TV

Foreign Policy

According to Syrian state media, twin car bombs planted in Jaramana, a suburb just outside of Damascus, killed at least 34 people. Many Druze and Christian minorities live in that neighborhood. Meanwhile, witnesses claim that insurgents downed a government aircraft that was bombing the town of Daret Azzeh, west of Aleppo and near the Turkish border, although it’s still unclear exactly how they did so. “We watched a Syrian plane being shot down as it was flying low to drop bombs,” said Ugur Cuneydioglu. This comes just a day after the opposition recorded another major tactical success. On Tuesday, the opposition shot down a military helicopter outside Aleppo with surface-to-air missiles. As of now, it’s unclear if these gains are long-term and thus able to present a challenge to Assad’s air-power. In another tactical gain, members of the opposition have overtaken two military bases, both of which were used by the Syrian air force. The opposition has gained control of about six bases in just a week. Valerie Amos, the United Nation’s humanitarian chief, accused Syria of bombing refugees near the Jordanian border who are trying to flee the country.

En Syrie, la communauté alaouite, base du régime, cherche une porte de sortie
27 novembre 2012 | Par Caroline Donati in Medipart

La capitale Damas bunkérisée, Qardaha, le village natal des Assad en colère, la communauté alaouite divisée… La résistance armée parvient-elle à percer les lignes de défense du régime des Assad ? Plusieurs événements récents le laissent penser. Il y a d’abord des témoignages recueillis à Damas. Selon plusieurs témoins, la capitale n’est plus seulement quadrillée par des barrages. Des murs de béton sont désormais érigés pour protéger les principaux centres de sécurité du régime. Le pouvoir se bunkérise et Damas est comparée à Bagdad et à sa zone verte, cette enclave ultra-sécurisée où sont regroupés les centres de pouvoir.

Depuis le mois d’octobre, les quartiers généraux de l’appareil de répression sont visés par des attaques spectaculaires revendiquées par des brigades de l’Armée syrienne libre (ASL). Début novembre, à Kfar Soussé, où résident de hauts dignitaires du régime, les bureaux du premier ministre et des services ont essuyé des tirs qui ont même atteint le palais présidentiel. Puis, deux quartiers alaouites de Damas, habités par des recrues miliciennes, respectivement Mezzeh 86 et Hay al-Wouroud, ont été secoués par des explosions.

Le régime a également perdu le 26 novembre le contrôle de Marj al-Sultan, le plus important aéroport militaire de la capitale, à vingt kilomètres du palais présidentiel, après avoir été contraint d’abandonner d’autres sites stratégiques à l’est de Damas.

Les combattants de l’ASL avancent sur d’autres territoires jusqu’alors solidement tenus par le pouvoir : la plaine et la montagne côtière alaouite, d’où sont originaires les dirigeants. Sur le point de contrôler la zone nord, ils sont désormais aux portes du « réduit alaouite ». Ce territoire en majorité habité par des Alaouites, part du littoral jusqu’à la montagne voisine, et pourrait servir de base de repli si le régime venait à perdre Damas.

La vidéo ci-dessous a été tournée par les brigade Hijra lil-Allah dans le village de Kandassiyeh, aux portes du réduit alaouite :

Début octobre, une brigade a même poussé jusqu’aux portes de Qardaha, le fief familial des Assad. « C’était une opération symbolique destinée à montrer au pouvoir qu’aucune région n’est stable et que l’ASL pouvait entrer à Qardaha à tout moment », commente le responsable du réseau médiatique La Syrie en direct.

Pour Peter Harling, de l’International Crisis Group (ICG), « l’ASL est décidée à porter le conflit sur le territoire de l’adversaire et de sa base sociale, jusqu’à s’en prendre aux zones alaouites épargnées par les destructions ». C’est de ces quartiers que le pouvoir bombarde en effet les banlieues révolutionnaires ou que les miliciens impliqués dans la répression sont originaires. « Les tirs qui ont visé le palais présidentiel constituent un changement majeur, reconnaît l’opposant Abdel Raouf Darwich, membre du collectif du 15 mars pour la démocratie en Syrie. L’armée libre a décidé de s’attaquer aux zones vitales pour le pouvoir. »

Le pays alaouite constitue un verrou majeur pour le régime Assad. C’est en effet dans ces zones marginalisées de la montagne et dans les périphéries des villes côtières, que le pouvoir a recruté ses hommes. Exploitant la longue histoire de persécutions de cette communauté, le régime des Assad a offert à ces alaouites paupérisés emploi et protection contre allégeance. Soutenir Assad, c’est se protéger en tant que minoritaires face à la majorité sunnite, selon la formule de l’ancien président Hafez al-Assad : « Tu es avec Assad, tu es avec toi-même. »

Des affrontements mortels

Mais cette solidarité de minoritaires se fissure. Car le pays alaouite enterre chaque jour sa jeunesse. « Il n’y a pas un jour sans qu’il n’y ait un enterrement dans les villages de la montagne, raconte une opposante originaire de la région. Les gens sont usés. » Le régime reconnaît avoir perdu 7 300 hommes, ce serait probablement le double. Tous ne sont pas morts dans des combats : certains ont été tués pour avoir désobéi aux ordres du régime. Dans la montagne, certaines familles s’opposent aux hommes d’Assad venus enrôler leurs enfants.

« Dans les villages, les familles sont perdues et commencent à évoquer ouvertement le départ de Bachar al-Assad, poursuit cette opposante. Ce n’est pas la révolution mais le début des divisions au sein de la communauté. » Devant l’incapacité du pouvoir à venir à bout du soulèvement, les langues se délient. « Dès l’été, on pouvait entendre des familles se dire que le moment venu, le président Assad partira avec les siens et les laissera face à l’inconnu, une chose impensable avant », raconte l’opposant Abdel Raouf Darwich, qui revient de cette région dont il est originaire.

Dans la montagne alaouite.Dans la montagne alaouite.© S.Winter

La petite classe moyenne a profité de la politique confessionnelle du régime en accédant à des postes au sein de l’administration : elle se sent aujourd’hui de plus en plus exposée aux représailles même si elle n’est pas impliquée dans la répression. Ces craintes sont nourries par la radicalisation de groupes armés de l’opposition qui exécutent des soldats de l’armée loyaliste et des miliciens. Mais les familles alaouites peuvent aussi être victimes des exactions des milices loyalistes. « À Homs, les chabiha rackettent des Alaouites faute d’autres clients, rapporte un analyste occidental. Les Alaouites veulent se convaincre qu’ils représentent l’État et combattent pour l’intérêt de la nation, mais ils savent que c’est une illusion car ce système est en réalité lié à une personne, Assad. »

Perceptible depuis des mois, la tension qui couvait a fini par éclater au grand jour le 28 septembre au cœur du fief des Assad : des affrontements mortels se sont produits à Qardaha opposant des hommes du clan Assad et leurs alliés à des familles respectées de la communauté alaouite, les Al-Khayyer, les Othman et les Aboud. Surnommé le « Seigneur de la montagne » pour la terreur qu’il y fait régner avec ses milices, Mohammed al-Assad, le cousin du chef de l’État, aurait ouvert le feu pour rappeler à l’ordre ses coreligionnaires qui critiquaient Bachar al-Assad… La fusillade qui a suivi aurait fait une dizaine de morts et plus de trente blessés.

« Les Alaouites sont divisés sur la gestion de la crise, explique l’historien Stefan Winter, spécialiste du Proche-Orient et de la Syrie ottomane à l’UQAM (Université du Québec à Montréal). Les proches de la famille Assad et les voyous, c’est-à-dire les contrebandiers et trafiquants de la montagne, estiment que la violence peut tout régler et qu’ils vont donner une leçon aux sunnites, et rappeler qui sont les vrais maîtres du pays ; tandis que les grandes familles de notables et les intellectuels prônent depuis le début la modération et une solution politique.»…..

Descendant d’un petit notable de Qardaha, les Assad appartiennent à un clan peu puissant et à l’une des tribus les moins considérées de la montagne côtière, les Kalbiyeh. Pour gommer ce handicap, l’ancien président s’était appuyé sur des personnalités religieuses de second plan, et avait noué des alliances avec les familles de notables par des mariages et des cooptations. Des membres de la famille al-Khayyer ont ainsi appuyé le président Hafez al-Assad. Les Assad ont ensuite soumis la communauté en éliminant leurs concurrents. Tous les officiers alaouites qui auraient pu s’opposer à leur ascension au sommet de l’État ont été écartés voire éliminés, tant sous Hafez al-Assad que sous Bachar….

« Les familles d’intellectuels ou de religieux sont respectées par la classe moyenne alaouite urbanisée, qui est capable de penser une identité religieuse alaouite moderne hors du leadership d’Assad, explique l’historien Stefan Winter. Mais à la différence des grandes notabilités druzes, aucune figure alaouite n’a assez de charisme et de capital social pour rallier la communauté qui est très fragmentée et n’avait jamais connu de véritable leader politique avant les Assad. » ….

Pas de prise sur l’armée

Les leaders de la montagne n’ont pas non plus d’ascendant sur les effectifs alaouites de l’armée. « Les allégeances tribales historiques ne comptent pas au sein de l’institution militaire car l’armée et les forces spéciales ont offert une promotion sociale aux alaouites en tant qu’individus et tous clans confondus, poursuit Stefan Winter. Les amitiés qui se sont créées durent et les réseaux sont si forts, ils dépendent tellement du régime qu’il est difficile d’imaginer qu’ils se rebellent contre Assad. » Trop compromis dans la répression, les hauts gradés savent aussi qu’il leur sera difficile de négocier une clémence quand bien même ils seraient en mesure de fomenter un coup d’État…..

Coincés entre un régime qui les mène à la catastrophe et la peur de l’après, les Alaouites pourraient choisir la fuite, vers la montagne côtière syrienne et le littoral, ou encore dans l’arrière-pays alaouite en Turquie. Selon nos informations, des familles entières de Damas ont franchi le pas. Les spéculateurs aussi : à Tartous, sur le littoral, les prix de l’immobilier ont déjà flambé.

Business Insider: The War For Syria Is Also A War For Iraq
2012-11-28

Divided by history, geography and God, Abu Mohammed and Abu Hamza both smoke Marlboro cigarettes and agree on one point: The war for Syria is also a war for Iraq. Driven from their homes by the 2003 US-led war in Iraq, both men, now in their 40s, …


Syrian rebels take two military bases in heavy fighting

BEIRUT — Rebel fighters took over two military bases in Syria after heavy fighting Tuesday, an additional sign that the ragtag force may finally be breaking a weeks-long stalemate and making progress in its battle against the government of President Bashar al-Assad….In the past week alone, rebels have taken control of about a half-dozen military bases across the country as well as the Tishreen hydroelectric dam near the Turkish border….

In a video posted online Tuesday, which reportedly showed one of the captured bases, fighters affiliated with the Free Syrian Army stomped on a bust of Assad’s father, Hafez, at the 666th air force battalion base south of Damascus.

The second base, southeast of Aleppo, was overrun by fighters from Ahrar al-Sham and Jabhat al-Nusra, according to the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Both are religious extremist groups suspected of having ties to al-Qaeda.

That the two air bases were taken over by such radically different groups among the opposition indicates that the recent rebel gains may not have been coordinated by any sort of unified leadership. It also hints at potential problems ahead if Islamist and secular groups begin to fight one another for control of territory….

Hizb Allah’s Role in the Syrian Uprising
Chris Zambelis – Nov 28, 2012 – Combating Terrorism Center – West Point

…..The fall of the Ba`athist regime would certainly take Syria out of the Resistance Axis. This does not mean that Hizb Allah and its allies will stand idle. It is conceivable that Nasrallah’s explanations for Hizb Allah’s activities in Syria reflect this reality. A deployment of Hizb Allah operatives in strategically important areas along the Syrian-Lebanese border, especially in and around villages that are home to communities sympathetic to Hizb Allah or possibly the Ba`athist regime (or apolitical communities opposed to the FSA), ensures the group an operational foothold in Syria in any post-Assad scenario. A Hizb Allah presence in these areas also emboldens the Ba`athist regime, thereby allowing it to devote valuable military resources to other theaters. At the same time, Hizb Allah is also a relatively small organization that has worked hard over the years to foster its reputation as a Lebanese entity that exists to defend Lebanon against Israel. Hizb Allah, therefore, must be careful not to overextend itself in operational as well as political terms, especially as the Ba`athist regime continues to draw the international community’s scorn.

Some predict that the potential collapse of its patron in Damascus will leave Hizb Allah irreparably weakened and vulnerable in the face of its numerous Lebanese and regional foes, especially Israel. Subscribers of this view, however, would be advised to revisit Hizb Allah’s evolution over the years, specifically the period of tensions surrounding the “war of the camps” (1984-89) characterized by the years of open warfare between Hizb Allah and its present-day allies the Amal Movement and Syria during Lebanon’s civil war (1975-1990).[27] Hizb Allah has long established itself as an organic Lebanese organization that is able to wield tremendous social, political, economic, and military functions in Lebanon. Hizb Allah will remain relevant in Lebanon and beyond should the Ba`athist regime fall.

Shabiha Militias and the Destruction of Syria
Stephen Starr – Combating Terrorism Center – West Point

….The Syrian regime is running out of funds[20] and is losing territory to rebel forces.[21] Although the full extent of the government’s losses in the north and east of the country have not yet been fully realized and accepted by the regime and its shabiha enforcers, their reaction to the news that rebel forces are at the gates of Damascus—whenever that happens—will likely see them turn increasingly violent against local Sunni populations. Areas within their reach and previously known for resistance to the regime are likely to suffer most, and Dariya-like massacres may well become commonplace in the time until rebel forces finally overthrow the al-Assad regime.

The quickening rate of violence now coloring the revolt-turned-war means groups like the shabiha will play an increasingly central role in conducting violence as law and order breaks down in the major cities. If and when rebels reach Damascus after having taken control of much of the rest of the country, the shabiha, making a last stand, will likely unleash ferocious reprisals on Sunni-dominated neighborhoods and regions.

The psychology that Syria is “Assad’s Syria,” a country ruled by Alawites, is so prevalent that pro-Assad militias are unlikely to be easily brought to a negotiating table. This is further complicated by the fact that there are no immediately obvious shabiha leaders who could bring the roving militias under control. Little is known of the shabiha leadership, where it exists today, but prominent figures are likely to be trusted relatives of powerful Alawite groups such as the Shalish, Makhlouf and Deeb families.[22]

Once it becomes clear there is no future for the al-Assad regime, pro-government paramilitaries will likely flee Damascus and other mixed-religion areas around the country for the rural villages and towns of Qardaha, Shaykh Badr, Ain al-Tina and others in Syria’s coastal mountains—the Alawites’ ancestral home. Without what they perceive as protection, thousands of Alawite civilians may also migrate to these safe areas because of fear of retribution from rebels and Sunni civilians. Yet for shabiha gangs cut off from safe zones and unable to get to the mountains along the coast, bloody “last stand” scenarios may occur.

The arguments outlined in this article paint a grim future for Syrians and their country. Given the growing acceleration of violence[23] and the international community’s reluctance to get more directly involved in solution seeking, less bloody outcomes for Syria’s immediate future are scant. The violence will continue and likely worsen before the al-Assad regime leaves or is forced from power.

ʿAfrin: Fighting near Qastal Jindu

KURDWATCH, November 28, 2012—On October 28, 2012, armed conflicts broke out near the Yazidi village of Qastal Jindu near ʿAfrin. The conflicts occurred between units of the Democratic Union Party (PYD) and the Free Syrian Army’s (FSA) Storm of the North Brigade, led by ʿAmmar al‑Dadikhi alias Abu Ibrahim. Fighters for the Storm of the North Brigade conquered the PYD checkpoint and arrested two PYD supporters. Shortly thereafter fighters for the ʿAmr ibn al‑ʿAs unit led by Ahmad ʿUbaid forced the Storm of the North Brigade out of Qastal Jindu; the PYD returned to the village. The exact reasons for the conflicts between the PYD and the various FSA units are unclear, but it is certain that the conflicts were not, as the PYD claims, anti-Yazidi attacks by the FSA on Qastal Jindu.

Raʾs al-ʿAyn: Dozens dead after Syrian Air Force attacks

KURDWATCH, November 24, 2012—On November 12, 13, and 14, 2012, Syrian Air Force planes, supported by ground-to-ground missiles, attacked Free Syrian Army (FSA) positions in Raʾs al‑ʿAyn (Serê Kaniyê). In the process residential districts in which FSA fighters were entrenched were also bombed. As many residents had already fled the city shortly after the FSA’s invasion on November 8, 2012 [further information], the number of civilian deaths—at least twelve—remained relatively low. Turkish ambulances brought the injured to the nearby Turkish city of Ceylanpınar. There are no reliable figures on the number of dead among the ranks of the FSA.

Raʾs al-ʿAyn: Heavy fighting between PYD and FSA

KURDWATCH, November 23, 2012—On November 19, 2012, armed confrontations between the Free Syrian Army (FSA) and units of the Democratic Union Party (PYD) took place in the eastern part of the city of Raʾs al‑ʿAyn (Serê Kaniyê). An activist from Raʾs al‑ʿAyn told KurdWatch that prior to the fighting, FSA representatives demanded that all PYD flags between Raʾs al‑ʿAyn and al‑Malikiyah (Dêrik) be removed. FSA representatives explained that this was an order from the Turkish government, who supports them. The chief negotiator for the PYD wanted to discuss the matter first. The activist from Raʾs al‑ʿAyn further stated: »At first [on November 8,2012] approximately five hundred FSA fighters came from Turkey. Around a hundred stayed at the border; the remaining four hundred marched into the city. Later, around two hundred additional fighters came from ar‑Raqqah; they were joined by other people from the area. It isn’t really very many, but they are Islamists and they have come to die.« According to his estimates, the PYD has around one thousand armed fighters in the region.

CBS News: Firsthand view of deady car bombing in Syria
2012-11-29

(CBS News) DAMASCUS – In Syria’s civil war, at least 34 people were killed Wednesday when two car bombs ripped through a suburb of Damascus. The Assad dictatorship has been trying to crush a rebellion that broke out more than a year-and-a half ago. …

Turkey, Syria and the NATO umbrella: A reading from Brussels
Marc Pierini is a visiting scholar at Carnegie Europe and a Turkey

Based on a Turkish request, an agreement is being reached in NATO about the deployment of a temporary missile defense system. NATO units (possibly drawn from Dutch, German or U.S. forces) will position Patriot missile batteries in southern Turkey against threats coming from the Syrian regime. This is in response to the worsening Syrian crisis and the explicit threats from Damascus to use force at regional level.

The purpose of the Patriot deployment should not be mistaken for what it is not. Missiles such as these are used against incoming ballistic/tactical missiles and against aircrafts. Since the Syrian government alluded on July 24 to the use of chemical or biological weapons if “exposed to external aggression,” the main threat coming from the Bashar al-Assad regime is thought to be Scud missiles with chemical warheads. This is a purely defensive posture.

This is not equivalent to declaring a no-fly zone, not even implementing a safe area for displaced persons within Syria. Such objectives would need many more steps to be taken, both legally and technically. At this stage of the Syrian crisis, it is also out of question to take decisions such as sending troops into Syrian territory or aircrafts in its airspace. The Patriot deployment is typical of the “no-boots-on-the-ground-nor-in-the-air” posture of Western powers.

With such relatively limited objectives, what is the meaning of the Patriot deployment?

First and foremost, it draws a clear red line for Damascus: the Turkish territory is off-limit to the Syrian army and air force. Bashar al-Assad is known, like his father Hafez, for his inclination to internationalize a conflict…

The al-Assad regime has maneuvered itself in a corner. With a usable territory soon to shrink to Damascus and/or the Alawite mountain, how soon will the Assad-Makhlouf clan understand the hard fundamentals of their situation? That is the next question. At least, by now, they know that neighboring countries are off-limits.

“Syria Love:” Watching Syrian Propaganda in Iraq
Edith Szanto*

Ramadan 2010 was the last time I visited Syria.  I have been aching to go back, but the situation there does not allow it.  For the last year, I have been sitting across the street, in a manner of speaking, talking with neighbors,  and watching the events from a safe distance.  The place where I have been observing Syria is neighboring Iraq.  Iraqi Kurdistan to be exact.  From here, I have spoken with Syrians who have left before and during the current crisis.  Some of my students are Iraqis who have spent years in Syria.  They grew up in Syria and they miss it just as I do.

In the beginning, when I first I came to Iraq in the fall of 2011, Syrian friends in Iraq (but not all of my Iraqi students who lived in Syria) univocally supported the uprising.  Many have since reconsidered their stance.  They want neither religious factions to take over, nor do they want civil war.  They were optimistic in the beginning.  They were certain the regime would fall quickly.  Today, they expect Syria to turn into another Iraq, predicting a decade or more of violence.

Among the many questions raised by the uprising is why the Syrian government has lasted this long (in contrast to the Tunisian and Egyptian governments, which fell relatively quickly).  Moreover, what has the Syrian government done (besides employ sheer force) to remain in power?  In this article, I examine two Syrian TV channels through which the Syrian government has tried to promote itself and gain support.

When I settled into my new apartment in September 2011, I browsed the satellite TV channels in search of news about Syria.  I found Syria News and Syria Drama, the usual channels.  I was, however, surprised to discover channels entitled Syria Education, Syria Medicine, Syria Love, and Syria Balad…..

Comments (150)


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101. zoo said:

Syria, the center of the gas war in the Middle East
“Who controls Syria could control the Middle East.”

http://enricpatrick.over-blog.org/article-syria-the-center-of-the-gas-war-in-the-middle-east-104881443.html

The media and military attack against Syria is directly related to the global competition for energy, as explained by Professor Imad Shuebi in the masterly article we publish.
…..
According to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy (WINEP, the think tank of AIPAC), the Mediterranean basin contains the largest reserves of gas and it is Syria that there would be the most important. This institution also hypothesized that the battle between Turkey and Cyprus would expand because of the inability of Turkey to assume the loss of the Nabucco project (despite the contract signed with Moscow in December 2011 for the transport of part of South Stream gas via Turkey).
The revelation of the secret Syrian gas raises awareness of the enormity of the issue about it. Who controls Syria could control the Middle East. And from Syria, gateway to Asia, he will hold “the key to Russia House,” as stated the Tsarina Catherine II, as well as that of China via the Silk Road. Thus, it would be ability to dominate the world because this century is the century of gas.
It is for this reason that the signatories to the agreement of Damascus, allowing gas to pass through Iran Iraq and access to the Mediterranean, creating a new geopolitical space and cutting the lifeline of Nabucco, had said “Syria is the key to the new era.”

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November 29th, 2012, 4:35 pm

 

102. Visitor said:

The dermatophagia ‘outbreak’ on SC among the lov-u-terribly clan is definitely on the rise as of today

Expect a houndoom reaction as usual in the next couple days.

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November 29th, 2012, 4:37 pm

 

103. zoo said:

Syria, Turkey, Israel and a Greater Middle East Energy War

By: F. William Engdahl,* author of Myths, Lies and Oil Warsr
October 12th, 2012

As Escobar points out, “it’s clear what Qatar is aiming at: to kill the US$10 billion Iran-Iraq-Syria gas pipeline, a deal that was clinched even as the Syria uprising was already underway. Here we see Qatar in direct competition with both Iran (as a producer) and Syria (as a destination), and to a lesser extent, Iraq (as a transit country). It’s useful to remember that Tehran and Baghdad are adamantly against regime change in Damascus.” He adds, “if there’s regime change in Syria – helped by the Qatari-proposed invasion – things get much easier in Pipelineistan terms. A more than probable Muslim Brotherhood (MB) post-Assad regime would more than welcome a Qatari pipeline. And that would make an extension to Turkey much easier.”

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November 29th, 2012, 4:42 pm

 

104. zoo said:

When are the average Syrian realize that they are been manipulated by slogans of freedom and liberty when it is all about sectarian revenge, calls for genocide on the Alawites, hatred of the Shias and Iran and to allow Qatar to get its pipeline through Syria?

The Syrians are dying for sordid sectarian feelings and for Qatar to become richer.

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November 29th, 2012, 4:50 pm

 

105. Syrialover said:

HAMSTER #97

Great to see those guys are keeping busy while their internet access to Syria is interrupted.

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November 29th, 2012, 4:58 pm

 

106. zoo said:

Who is Sheikh Ahmad Moaz Al-Khatib?

It’s Ambassador Robert Ford who has pushed his nomination

He is a geophysical engineer who worked six years for the al-Furat Petroleum Company (1985-1991), a joint venture company between the Syrian national and foreign companies, including Anglo-Dutch Shell. In 1992, he inherited his father’s prestigious preaching job at the Umayyad Mosque in Damascus. He is quickly relieved of his duties by the Baathist regime and banned from preaching throughout Syria. Why? Because at the time Syria supported the U.S. operation Desert Storm to liberate Kuwait and the Sheikh was opposed to it for the same religious reasons as Osama bin Laden: he does not want western presence in the land of Arabia. The sheikh settles in Qatar and in 2003-2004, returned to Syria as a lobbyist for Shell. He returned again in Syria in early 2012 where he ignites the neighborhood of Douma (Damascus suburb). Arrested and amnestied he left the country in July and settled in Cairo.

His family is of Sufi tradition, so normally moderate, but unlike what that AFP reported, he is a member of the Muslim Brotherhood and showed it during his inauguration speech in Doha. In short, as Hamid Karzai in Afghanistan, the Americans have got an oil lobbyist!

Now that we have given analytical elements of the internal forces in Syria, let’s look at the external regional forces….

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November 29th, 2012, 5:01 pm

 

107. Tara said:

Palestine statehood passes 138-9, with 41 abstaining
UN resolution A/67/L28 granting Palestine non-member observer state status passes, 138-9 with 41 abstaining.

Huge applause breaks out in the hall. Abbas is receiving hugs.

A Palestinian flag is being unfolded on the floor.

CSPAN turns the camera on US Ambassador Susan Rice. She looks like she wishes she were in Benghazi.

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November 29th, 2012, 5:42 pm

 

108. zoo said:

MABROOK to all Palestinians and to countries who hosted and supported them all these years.

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November 29th, 2012, 5:45 pm

 

109. Tara said:

Please shut up Mrs. Ambassador.

Rice: ‘Resolution does not establish that Palestine is a state’
US Ambassador Susan Rice is speaking against the resolution. She says the resolution damages prospects for a peace process and does not establish a new benchmark for negotiations.

In short, she says the resolution is meaningless as far as the United States is concerned.

“This resolution does not establish that Palestine is a state.”

“The recent conflict in Gaza is just the latest reminder that the absence of peace risks the presence of war,” she says. That’s one lesson you could draw.

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November 29th, 2012, 5:47 pm

 

110. zoo said:

Panic among the opposition: The Syrian government they’ve been trying to cripple, has stopped the internet service it was providing to all Syria.
I hope the Western allies will rush a ‘non lethal’ internet in replacement

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November 29th, 2012, 5:53 pm

 
 

112. Tara said:

What is the regime up to cutting off the Internet?  Preparing for a grand scale massacre? It is now said you are not safe anywhere in Damascus except if you live in Malki.  
—-
Syria’s information minister blamed “terrorists” for the outage, but the communications shutdown was seen as an attempt to stymie rebel moves as militias try to co-ordinate an assault on Damascus. It was also thought to be aimed at thwarting any plans for advances in other towns and cities.

While officials have frequently shut down internet and mobile phone access to opposition-held areas since the uprising began in March 2011, sometimes for weeks at a time, they have never before cut web and voice communications nationwide.

Soon after noon on Thursday, all 84 of Syria’s ISP address blocks were unreachable, web specialists Renesys said. Five ISP addresses did continue to function. Renesys analysts said they were used to deliver malware to anti-regime activists earlier this year, a fact that would appear to link the addresses to the government.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/nov/29/syria-blocks-internet

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November 29th, 2012, 6:05 pm

 

113. Tara said:

US to recognize Syrian opposition

The United States plans to join Britain, France and others in recognizing the Syrian opposition as the legitimate representatives of the people, the AP reports:

The Obama administration is preparing to recognize Syria’s new opposition council as the legitimate representative of the Syrian people in the coming weeks, paving the way for greater U.S. support for groups seeking to oust President Bashar Assad’s regime, officials said Thursday.

Announcement of the move — which has already been taken by several U.S. allies — is planned on or around a conference of more than 70 nations in Marrakesh, Morocco, on Dec. 12. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton is planning to attend the latest so-called Friends of Syria gathering.

The new status is expected to be accompanied by pledges of additional humanitarian and nonlethal logistical support for the opposition, but is unlikely to result in U.S. military assistance, at least in the short-term. Providing arms remains a matter of intense internal debate inside the administration, the officials said.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/middle-east-live/2012/nov/29/egypt-crisis-morsi-constitution-live#block-50b7ac1bb579ff47064199ee

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November 29th, 2012, 6:28 pm

 

114. Jarthouma said:

Oh Dear…….

Zoo the sectarian Alawite Butta scrap….

Paste, copy and paste NOW!!!!! The airport might fall and Batta needs your help…. I mean how long does it take to start this glorious counterattack that we have been waiting for ? Only a sharp and quick precision copy and paste attack can save the day

Shmuck! It’s over inshallah and we are off soon to piss on the grave of your divine daddy Batta in Qardha

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November 29th, 2012, 6:49 pm

 

115. SANDRO LOEWE said:

Congratulations to Assad of Syria.

Internet closed today in all Syria.
Damascus Airport closed too.
But nothing happens, it is just war against gangs of terrorists….

All cities are destroyed, all those who could leave the country already did it, but nothing happens.

Assad will prevail because he is divine and eternal…. until he falls in the hands of the Great Syrian Revolution…. soon

IN SHA ALLAH
IN SHA ALLAH
IN SHA ALLAH

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November 29th, 2012, 6:49 pm

 

116. SANDRO LOEWE said:

110. ZOO

Do not worry about the armed opposition, they have good telecommunication systems working with their own sattelites. Regarding the peacefull opposition it mainly left the country or is in prison.

War is the only language from now until the fall of Assad The Second and Last, The Border-Line Criminal.

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November 29th, 2012, 6:56 pm

 

117. majedkhaldoun said:

The new Egyptian constitution says
The president has to be egyptian, and His spouse must be egyptian, It is not required to be Moslem.

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November 29th, 2012, 7:39 pm

 

118. zoo said:

Big Sunni gains may bring Lebanon pain
November 29, 2012 08:44 PM
By Michael Young
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Opinion/Columnist/2012/Nov-29/196487-big-sunni-gains-may-bring-lebanon-pain.ashx#axzz2DdfCR7UY

In recent days, the regime of President Bashar Assad has suffered significant setbacks in northern Syria. This may not be the end, but it only affirms that the dynamics of the conflict are being driven by the armed opposition, so that for the first time since March 2011, Assad rule appears to be decisively shaken, not to say terminally ill.

From a Lebanese perspective, the greatest danger will come once the battle in Syria is over. Lebanese Sunnis will feel triumphant, and legitimately so, after decades when they were regarded as a threat by the Assad regime. Their sense of renewed empowerment, in parallel with that of their brethren in Syria, could make them overconfident.

Read more: http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Opinion/Columnist/2012/Nov-29/196487-big-sunni-gains-may-bring-lebanon-pain.ashx#ixzz2DfGF3Csg

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November 29th, 2012, 8:19 pm

 

119. zoo said:

Syria: The clouds darken for Assad

by Rodger Shanahan – 29 November 2012 12:00PM

http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/post/2012/11/29/Syria-The-clouds-darken-for-Assad.aspx

….
But despite all the claims of unbroken rebel successes, there is no indication that the Syrian military is on the point of collapse. And there continue to be problems for the rebels and their supporters. Regular clashes between various rebel factions and Kurds in Syria’s north and northeast illustrate ongoing suspicions about the rebels’ intentions. And to reinforce those fears, Damascus recently released a list of over 140 foreign fighters from 18 countries that it said had been killed in recent fighting.

This, and the willingness of rebel groups to target civilians, adds to Western nervousness in publicly backing the rebels before they know better who they are and what they want. France and the UK have rather precipitously recognised the newly formed opposition umbrella group as the sole legitimate representative of the Syrian people, even though the opposition doesn’t control the rebel forces. Washington is right to be more circumspect. The more civilians killed by rebel forces, the more difficult it will be to argue that any assistance London, Paris or other countries provide is ‘non-lethal’.

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November 29th, 2012, 8:21 pm

 

120. zoo said:

Which of the opposition or the government is more affected by the Internet shutdown?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2012/11/29/a-stunning-chart-shows-syrias-internet-blackout/?tid=pm_world_pop

Syria’s apparent shutdown of all Internet services has now been confirmed by a second Web-monitoring service, Akamai. The company released this chart of Web traffic in and out of Syria, reporting that the country is “effectively off the Internet.” Akamai says the traffic is at zero, a remarkable indication of how swiftly and completely Syria seems to have taken its offline. Removing an entire country from the Internet is no small feat, and has potentially serious implications for Syria’s economy, its security and the uprising that began last year.

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November 29th, 2012, 8:28 pm

 

121. zoo said:

Syrian army is cleaning up Daraya

حسين مرتضى – تقرير ميداني في داريا 29-11-2012

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November 29th, 2012, 8:34 pm

 

122. Visitor said:

You guys want to hear the latest joke?

The regime so-called minister (or thug) of defense just pleaded with the people of Damascus to defend it against the FSA.

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November 29th, 2012, 8:39 pm

 

123. MarigoldRan said:

Those satellite phones that the US provided to the opposition has suddenly become very, VERY useful. Good foresight by the US State Department.

It’s a desperation move by the regime.

@ Zoo

What the average civilian in Syria is coming to realize is that Assad is an evil man who likes to bomb them with jet planes. They may have reservations about the FSA, but I think they’re smart enough to realize that the regime is worse.

If Assad is trying to win the support of the average civilian, perhaps he should reconsider his strategy of BOMBING THEM? Don’t you agree?

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November 29th, 2012, 8:42 pm

 

124. MarigoldRan said:

@ Zoo

Didn’t the regime “clean up” Daraya a month ago? Why are they cleaning it up again? Didn’t the regime (according to SANA) win a smashing success there two months ago as well?

How many smashing successes does the regime need to capture a suburb or a town?

Based on the official Syrian or Iranian news, you’d think the regime was winning.

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November 29th, 2012, 8:46 pm

 

125. Tara said:

US accelerates intervention in Syrian war
Published: 29 November, 2012

http://rt.com/usa/news/us-intervention-syria-arms-925/

In an attempt to defeat Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, government officials told the New York Times that the US might bring its military resources to the region for either intimidation purposes or direct use in Syria.
NATO will likely decide next week whether or not to deploy surface-to-air Patriot missiles in Turkey, which would serve to protect the country from potential Syrian missiles that could contain chemical weapons, as well as intimidate Syrian Air Force pilots from bombing the northern Syria border towns.

The armed rebels currently control much of Northwest Syria along the border of Turkey, making the border a likely conflict zone should Syrian missiles be implemented.
Although State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said the Patriot missile system would not be used beyond the Turkish border, military sources told Israeli news service DEBKAthat all of northern Syria – including Aleppo and Homs – would become controlled by the Turkish-NATO team.
….
“The administration has figured out that if they don’t start doing something, the war will be over and they won’t have any influence over the combat forces on the ground,” former Defense Intelligence Agency officer told the New York Times. “They may have some influence with various political groups and factions, but they won’t have influence with the fighters, and the fighters will control the territory.”
….
The Obama administration is also preparing to recognize Syria’s new opposition council as the official representation of Syria, likely during a Dec. 12 “Friends of Syria” conference in Morocco which Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will attend, the Associated Press reports. The recognition will likely spur further US involvement in the conflict – if not militarily, then it will at least draw more humanitarian aid.
..more 

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November 29th, 2012, 8:48 pm

 

126. Syrialover said:

10 Myths About Assad and What’s Happening in Syria

By Maher Arar

10 myths that have been circulating around since the very beginning. Many of these myths are, unfortunately, still being reinforced by many Western journalists and left-leaning anti-imperialism activists. The last three myths are being reinforced by pro-regime supporters.

1.The United States and its allies have been supplying arms to the Syrian armed opposition.
2.The fighting that has been taking place in Syria has an entirely sectarian nature and as such can be accurately described as a civil war.
3.Assad and his regime have been the most hard-core supporters of the Palestinian resistance. That explains why they are being targeted by Israel (and the West). It is simply a Western conspiracy against Syria.
4.All members of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) are Islamic extremists (also described as hard-core Salafists) who swore allegiance to either Qatar or Saudi Arabia.
5.The FSA has a single command structure and takes instructions from a single military council.
6.The FSA is exclusivity composed of Sunni Muslims.
7.All Shabiha belong to the Alawite minority.
8.The Syrian uprising was militarized from day one.
9.The Syrian army doesn’t target civilians.
10.Most of the anti-regime fighters are foreigners.

http://prism-magazine.com/2012/11/10-myths-about-assad-and-whats-happening-in-syria/

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November 29th, 2012, 8:53 pm

 

127. zoo said:

Exclusive: Inside Future Movement’s Syria Arms Trade

By: Radwan Mortada
November 29, 2012
http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/exclusive-inside-future-movements-syria-arms-trade

Al-Akhbar has obtained recordings of Future Movement MP Okab Sakr organizing weapons transfers to the armed Syrian opposition at the behest of Future leader Saad Hariri.

The phone call is the first hard evidence of the role Sakr and his backers in Future were playing in providing arms and logistical support to the Syrian rebels.

In a three-part series built on documents, audio recordings, and interviews with sources close to Sakr, Al-Akhbar will shed light on Sakr’s attempts to hijack the Syrian uprising for his own means while running the armed opposition into the ground.

A few weeks ago, Al-Akhbar’s offices in Beirut received an anonymous phone call. The caller claimed he was in possession of “audio recordings which will expose MP Okab Sakr and his role is destroying the [Syrian] revolution.”

The news did not come as a surprise. Sakr’s connection to the Syrian opposition was well-known, and his role as an arms dealer to the rebels had been documented in the press.

Neither was it the first time that information about the existence of audio recordings of Sakr’s conversations had circulated.

Al-Akhbar initially doubted the caller and his motivations, but he promptly sent the first recording. It sounded a lot like Sakr’s voice, which was later confirmed by audio experts.

A few days later, the anonymous caller made another phone call to Al-Akhbar and gave his email address. Further communications were carried out over email and phone to identify the extent of the recorded material and its importance.

The source did not reveal the number of recordings in his possession, saying only that there were dozens. For further confirmation, he sent an excerpt from a second recording.

It was Sakr’s voice again and the voice experts were also inclined to believe so. Yet the recordings raised more questions about the identity of the source, including how the recordings came into his possession and what he hoped to gain by leaking them to the press.

It was soon revealed that the source had been working with Sakr for more than a year as part of an operations room established to support the Syrian uprising.

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November 29th, 2012, 8:54 pm

 

128. Aldendeshe said:

108. zoosaid:
MABROOK to all Palestinians and to countries who hosted and supported them all these years.

_________________________________________________________________

F***k the bastard Palestinians. UNWORTHY BAS*TARD*S. Close their whore house slums in Syria and Lebanon and throw them to their masters the Jews in Israel, which they serve daily and toil for them for miserable pay. UNDESERVING THUGS, JEW SLAVE SERVANTS.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:00 pm

 

129. zoo said:

Marigoldan

“Based on the official Syrian or Iranian news, you’d think the regime was winning.
Based on the biased western media, you’d think the rebels are winning.

Only time will tell, and two years after the regime was declared moribund, the army collapsing and Bashar al Assad’s days counted, time already told us that no one really knows, even the Cassandras in this blog…

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November 29th, 2012, 9:01 pm

 

130. zoo said:

It seems the thugs are back spreading their insults and their vulgarity.
It’s time to leave the stage to their frustrated gesticulation.

Go ahead, dump your filth

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November 29th, 2012, 9:09 pm

 

131. MarigoldRan said:

@Zoo

Um, the rebels are winning. Look at what they’ve been able to capture over the last two months. Look at the territory they control now. Compared that against the military situation 6 months ago.

It’s pretty obvious except to people with their heads stuck in the sand.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:12 pm

 

132. zoo said:

Signs of winning? The opposition is enrolling children and exposing them to death.

Syria: Opposition Using Children in Conflict
Boys Report Serving as Fighters, Guards, and Lookouts
November 29, 2012
http://www.hrw.org/news/2012/11/29/syria-opposition-using-children-conflict

(New York) – Armed opposition groups fighting in Syria are using children for combat and other military purposes, Human Rights Watch said today. Children as young as 14 have served in at least three opposition brigades, transporting weapons and supplies and acting as lookouts, Human Rights Watch found, and children as young as 16 have carried arms and taken combat roles against government forces. Opposition commanders should make public commitments to end this practice, and to prohibit the use of anyone under 18 for military purposes – even if they volunteer.

Human Rights Watch interviewed five boys between the ages of 14 and 16 who said they had worked with the armed opposition in Homs, Daraa, and Khirbet al-Jawz, a small Idlib town near the Turkish border. Three of the boys, all age 16, said they carried weapons. One said he received military training and participated in attack missions. Two boys – ages 14 and 15 – said they, together with other boys, supported opposition brigades by conducting reconnaissance or transporting weapons and supplies. In addition, Human Rights Watch interviewed three Syrian parents who said their sons under 18 had remained in Syria to fight.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:22 pm

 

133. Ghufran said:

Voting “no” Thursday were Israel, the United States and Canada, joined by the Czech Republic, Panama and several Pacific island nations: Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru and Palau. The Pacific nations typically support the U.S. and Israel at the U.N. on key General Assembly resolutions.
The UN passed the famous partition of historical Palestine on November,29,1947

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November 29th, 2012, 9:23 pm

 

134. Syrialover said:

Ten Myths About Assad and What’s Happening in Syria

By Maher Arar

10 myths that have been circulating around since the very beginning. Many of these myths are, unfortunately, still being reinforced by many Western journalists and left-leaning anti-imperialism activists. The last three myths are being reinforced by pro-regime supporters.

1.The United States and its allies have been supplying arms to the Syrian armed opposition.
2.The fighting that has been taking place in Syria has an entirely sectarian nature and as such can be accurately described as a civil war.
3.Assad and his regime have been the most hard-core supporters of the Palestinian resistance. That explains why they are being targeted by Israel (and the West). It is simply a Western conspiracy against Syria.
4.All members of the Free Syrian Army (FSA) are Islamic extremists (also described as hard-core Salafists) who swore allegiance to either Qatar or Saudi Arabia.
5.The FSA has a single command structure and takes instructions from a single military council.
6.The FSA is exclusivity composed of Sunni Muslims.
7.All Shabiha belong to the Alawite minority.
8.The Syrian uprising was militarized from day one.
9.The Syrian army doesn’t target civilians.
10.Most of the anti-regime fighters are foreigners.

http://prism-magazine.com/2012/11/10-myths-about-assad-and-whats-happening-in-syria/

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November 29th, 2012, 9:24 pm

 

135. MarigoldRan said:

And the regime is bombing little children. So what’s your point?

***************************

The regime is losing. Do you agree or disagree with this statement?

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November 29th, 2012, 9:25 pm

 

136. Visitor said:

More criminal aircraft will be falling off the sky shortly…….Thanks to Qatar and Sheikh HBJ of course.

40 surface to air missiles, shoulder fired, have been delivered to the good shoulders of the FSA.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:26 pm

 

137. Sheila said:

http://m.youtube.com/#/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=H40EsEVU1Wk&desktop_uri=%2Fwatch%3Ffeature%3Dplayer_embedded%26v%3DH40EsEVU1Wk

I have been crying for the last hour. “Uncle, I beg of you uncle” cried the little boy addressing a stranger. The boy is probably 10 or 11 years old. He is on his back trying to get up, but unable to. The stranger rushes to his help, tells him it is ok and then lifts him up to reveal the back of his head smashed and soaked in blood.. Welcome to hell: cars mangled up, bodies without heads and people chanting the name of God in an effort to give themselves the strength to help those in need. A man cries:”there is a woman still alive upstairs”. Another calls: “the building is going to collapse” yet people continue to rush in to see if anyone made it.
What punishment is worthy of such a crime? I really do not know. Nothing seems to be enough.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:33 pm

 

138. Aldendeshe said:

people chanting the name of God in an effort to give themselves the strength to help
________________________________________________________________

Ohhhhh, that is damm good,they don’t need me, they got Allah to help. Will go back to watch por*n now.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:47 pm

 

139. zoo said:

Lakhdar Ibrahimi will present his proposal to the UNSC on the 30th November

The proposal calls for negotiation for a transition government where Bashar al Assad will keep a representative role until the 2014 elections.

Randa Kassis who was excluded from the SNC for her anti-islamist stand supports that plan as she refused to see the arms race, the growth of islamic extremist and the increasing death toll of Syrians.

Interview in french on France 24

http://www.france24.com/fr/20121128-debat-partie2-syrie-bachar-assad-opposition

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November 29th, 2012, 9:49 pm

 

140. zoo said:

Marigoldran

“The regime is losing. Do you agree or disagree with this statement?”

I don’t know.. am I the only one?

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November 29th, 2012, 9:54 pm

 

141. zoo said:

In a meeting in close doors with the UNSC, Brahimi calls for the members full support and a peacemaking force to implement a cease fire..

Mediator: Syria peace progress rests with UNSC
By REUTERS
11/29/2012 21:36
UNITED NATIONS – International Syria mediator Lakhdar Brahimi said on Thursday he could not move forward with a peace plan unless it was backed by a UN Security Council resolution and he warned that a ceasefire would only hold if it was overseen by a peacekeeping mission.

A peaceful solution to the 20-month conflict could only be initiated by the Security Council, Brahimi told the 15-member body, which has been deadlocked on whether to take stronger action against Syrian President Bashir Assad.

“I have been challenged to produce a plan. I think that we now have the elements of a plan, but these elements cannot be put together until this council has come together and is ready to adopt a resolution that will be the basis for a political process (in Syria),” Brahimi told reporters after his briefing.
….
“No doubt what is very, very urgently needed is a ceasefire that can hold … a ceasefire will not hold unless it is very, very strongly observed, and that, I believe, will require a peacekeeping mission,” Brahimi said.

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November 29th, 2012, 9:56 pm

 

142. Ghufran said:

دارت اشتباكات عنيفة اليوم الخميس في محيط مطار دمشق الدولي الذي أعلن الجيش الحر وصوله إليه بعد تحريره للغوطة الشرقية .
و قالت مصادر الجيش الحر إنه تمكن من تحرير كتيبة الاشارة 533 و المستودع التابع لها 542 ، و ضرب كافة المؤازرات الوافدة إليها .
و أضافت المصادر ” إن مقاتلي الحر قتلوا و أسروا أكثر من 300 عنصر، وغنموا العديد من الآليات و المدرعات الثقيلة، لتصبح الغوطة الشرقية محررة بالكامل حتى مطار دمشق الدولي”.
و تفيد الأنباء أنه تم تعليق الرحلات الجوية من و إلى مطار دمشق الدولي ترافق مع بيانين صدرا عن ” مصر للطيران” و ” طيران الامارات” يعلنان فيهما تعليق الرحلات اليومية إلى دمشق حتى اشعار آخر.
و فشلت القوات النظامية في اقتحام داريا لليوم الحادي عشر على التوالي، وفقاً للمعارضة، و دمر الجيش الحر دبابتين و عربة ناقلة للجنود و تمكنت من أسر مدير المنطقة العميد مصطفى سيفو .
و شن مقاتلو الحر هجوماً على قوات أمنية حاولت نصب حاجز بين الحجر الأسود و التقدم ، كما هاجموا حاجزاً في حي العسالي و قتلوا و جرحوا من فيه.
و ردت القوات النظامية بقصف مناطق دمشق و ريفها و تركز بشكل كثيف على داريا و الغوطة الشرقية و السبينة و البويضة و حجيرة البلد و الأحياء الجنوبية من المدينة.
في المقابل، قالت مصادر اعلامية موالية للنظام إن “ما جرى اليوم هو هجوم المسلحين على مطار عقربا العسكري في محاولة للسيطرة عليها ، إلا أنهم فشلوا ، و عادوا انسحبوا “.
و أضاف تلك المصادر ” و بعد فشلهم، تسللوا عبر الأراضي الممتدة على طريق المطار و قاموا بمهاجمة السيارات العابرة، ما أسفر عن استشهاد مواطنين اثنين “.
و اضطر الجيش النظامي بناء على ما تقدم ، و الكلام للاعلام الموالي، باعلام جميع حواجز الجيش بقطع الطريق حفاظاً على “سلامة المواطنين”، على حد تعبيرها.
يذكر أن جميع أنواع الاتصالات مقطوعة في سوريا ، الأمر الذي فسره الناشطون بضعف النظام وقرب حسم المعركة في الداخل .
There is no way to confirm the accuracy of this report but it seems like regime media is hiding something, if rebels surround DIA and defeat the army in E. Ghoutah then you can say that Damascus will be next,keep in mind that the army can probably stop the rebels but at a very high cost to civilians, I hope those who can influence Bashar may be able to convince him to stop an upcoming blood bath but I am not optimistic, there are elements in the regime ,that may include Bashar,that want this to be a fight to the end. No Syrian wants to see this madness gets extended to Damascus, for the life of me I do not see what Generals in the army are waiting for, somebody needs to send Bashar on a plane to Russia and starts talking to rebels to spare Damascus and save what can be saved if the only obsticle is Bashar.

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November 29th, 2012, 10:06 pm

 

143. zoo said:

Gufran

41 abstention: Australia, UK, Germany…

“We want GCC oil and money but we want to remain friend with Israel and the US”

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November 29th, 2012, 10:10 pm

 

144. Tara said:

Now that then regime is losing militarily, Batta may accept a peacekeeping mission and Russia may not veto out a UNSC resolution. I hope the coalition and the FSA would study such proposal and not make a hasty decision accepting it. Batta has proven himself not to be trusted in any potential political solution. Batta must disappear first and Ibrahimin should go home.

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November 29th, 2012, 10:11 pm

 

145. Ghufran said:

Lebanese sources are saying that it is the regime that is on the offensive in Damascus not the rebels, I think both sides are lying, this battle, unless the army stage a coup or Assad is personally targeted, will last a long time,not just in Damascus, the army has no shortage of weapons and the regime is now enlisting civilians and giving them few weeks of training to try to mitigate the shortage of trained soldiers, this will be a long winter.

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November 29th, 2012, 10:22 pm

 

146. zoo said:

Morsi in a hurry: Shariah-based Egypt charter rushed to vote

http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/shariah-based-egypt-charter-rushed-to-vote.aspx?pageID=238&nID=35797&NewsCatID=352

An assembly drafting Egypt’s new Constitution yesterday maintained the previous Constitution’s principles of Islamic law, Shariah, as the main source of legislation, as it rushed through the approval process in the face of objections from an opposition that argues more time is needed.

It also agreed to a clause stating that the principles of Christian and Jewish legal traditions would guide the personal and religious affairs of people belonging to those faiths.

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November 29th, 2012, 10:23 pm

 

147. zoo said:

“President Obama has not signed off on the move, and the meetings to decide the issue have yet to be held.”

U.S. Moves Toward Recognizing Syria’s Opposition

By MICHAEL GORDON and MARK LANDLER
Published: November 29, 2012
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/30/world/middleeast/us-moves-toward-recognizing-syria-opposition.html?_r=0

….
A decision to recognize the group could be announced at a so-called Friends of Syria meeting that Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton is expected to attend in Morocco on Dec. 12. It is the most immediate decision facing the Obama administration as it considers how to end the government of Bashar al-Assad and stop the violence that has consumed Syria.

President Obama has not signed off on the move, and the meetings to decide the issue have yet to be held. Debates within the administration concern legal issues about the implications of diplomatic recognition, how such a move might affect efforts to enlist Russian support for a political transition in Syria and, most importantly, the state of the opposition.

“They are a legitimate representative of the Syrian people’s aspirations,” Robert Ford, the American ambassador to Syria, said Thursday at a conference on the Syrian humanitarian crisis. “They are making real progress and I expect that our position will evolve as they themselves develop,” he added.

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November 29th, 2012, 10:32 pm

 

148. MarigoldRan said:

@Zoo

Ok, that’s fair. The answer of “I don’t know” is a overly-cautious but reasonable position on the state of affairs in Syria.

However, based on the evidence, I’m confident the regime is losing. Compare the situation in March to the situation now. The FSA has more soldiers, more weapons, more territory and more support (Jordan) than in March. THEREFORE the FSA is winning.

@Ghurfan

BOTH sides lie during the middle of a battle. DO NOT TRUST ANY BATTLE REPORTS FROM EITHER SIDE. However, you can tell how the battle is going by WHERE they’re fighting. If the battle is at the airport or spreads to central Damascus, the rebels are winning. If the fighting retreats back to East Ghouta, the regime has pushed the rebels back.

This battle is going to take a long time to end. However, if the rebels can sustain a battle of Damascus, this is BAD news for the regime. It means the rebels have enough weapons and their supply lines are secure.

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November 29th, 2012, 10:36 pm

 

149. Syrialover said:

ZOO #119

That Roger Shanahan has written pompous lightweight pieces for many, many months about how the rebellion by Syrians against the Assad regime is a bad idea and doesn’t deserve to work.

He also constantly insists al qaeda is driving the whole thing and it’s wrong for the west to care or get involved.

Here he is – http://www.lowyinterpreter.org/page/Rodger-Shanahan.aspx

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November 29th, 2012, 10:46 pm

 

150. AJ said:

136. VISITOR said:

“More criminal aircraft will be falling off the sky shortly…….Thanks to Qatar and Sheikh HBJ of course.

40 surface to air missiles, shoulder fired, have been delivered to the good shoulders of the FSA.”

90% of the FSA achievements were made thanks to the Syrian people only. Most weapons were captured from within the Assad regime. Qatar and KSA promised a lot, helped Libya get rid of a dictator, but did nothing to overthrow Assad.

Trickled weapons were only meant to put a thorn in Iranian influence in the region.

The Syrian people have been left alone by the regional powers and we will never forget nor forgive them for it.

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November 30th, 2012, 12:28 am

 

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