Betting on Bashar’s Expire Date; Russia Prevaricates; National Coalition Struggles

The Russians of said that the rebels may win, but that does not signify that they will roll over on Bashar. Moscow remains unwilling to recognize the new National Coalition, which would allow the US to take it to the Security Council of the UN for international recognition to replace Assad’s government. Such recognition would give the National Coalition much greater leverage over militias, because any loans, new passports, visas, etc. would all have to go through the new government. But that still seems far off.

Predictions of the Assad regime’s demise still seem iffy. The rebels have made great advances but they are far from taking Damascus. Assad is showing growing signs of desperation, but he faces a very fragmented rebel front.

NATO chief says regime in Syria is ‘approaching collapse,’ fall now ‘just a matter of time’.

King Abdullah of Jordan said that the regime of President Bashar al-Assad “can hold for two years at the military level, but not more than four months at the economic level.”

The king said that “Jordan was severely damaged as a result of frequent interruptions of Egyptian natural gas, which cost the state treasury about 5 billion Jordanian dinars [$7.04 billion],” stressing that the interruption of gas ”is the real reason behind the economic crisis plaguing the country.”

Syria’s Agony: The Photographs That Moved Them Most
Monday, December 10, 2012 | By TIME Photo Department |

Russia admits Assad may be ousted by Syrian opposition – Guardian
13 Dec 2012

Russia has acknowledged for the first time that the regime of Syrian president Bashar al-Assad is losing control of the country. “One must look the facts in the face: the tendency is that the regime and government of Syria is losing more and more control and more and more territory,” Mikhail Bogdanov, […]

Foreign Policy

Russia denied reports insisting its stance on Syria has not shifted and the foreign ministry reported Friday that Boganov had “issued no statements and given no special interviews in recent days.” Russia has maintained there must be a political solution to the conflict and have criticized the international recognition of the opposition coalition under Mouaz al-Khatib saying it is undermining diplomacy. Meanwhile, U.S. Defense Secretary Leon Panetta approved sending two batteries of Patriot missiles and 400 military personnel to Turkey to protect its border with Syria. The U.S. batteries will add to four from Germany and the Netherlands in a NATO effort and are set to be operational by the end of January.

CNN’s Arwa Damon has a Syrian mother (whose father was the former Syrian prime minister Muhsin al-Barazi) – Vogue Mag

115 countries & 9 intl orgs (incl UNHCR & UNOCHA) attended today’s Friends mtg. $143m was pledged to #SOC to use as humanitarian aid.

Syria Deeply

Exclusive with US Ambassador Robert Ford on the decision to name Jabhat al Nusra a terror group, a look at What’s Next After Marrakesh with opposition architect Yaser Tabbara, and our first cross-post with the Council on Foreign Relations, an expert roundup asking What Should US Policy Be in Syria?

We also had a long talk with Joshua Landis on Assad, Alewites, and the future of Syria. 

Syrian People Not Swayed by New Coalition – al-Monitor

It is as though the Syrian public is fated to suffer from the weakness and fragmentation of an opposition that seeks to replace the regime, which has the most to gain from a transboundary division of the opposition. This comes at a time when optimism — which prevailed among the opposition masses after the National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces was created — has seemingly gone with the wind….

Wolfgang Danspeckgruber and Archbishop Mar Gregorios
Outline Strategy for Ending War in Syria in a Financial Times Editorial

A new Financial Times editorial by LISD Director, Wolfgang Danspeckgruber co-authored by Archbishop Mar Gregorios Yohanna Ibrahim, the Syrian Orthodox Metropolit of Aleppo, on “Syria’s Agony Can End After All Parties Talk,” (FT.com registration required) discusses the role of the US, Russia, Iran, and China, as well as regional powers, in ending the war in Syria. The editorial outlines three critical steps necessary for ending the war. The three steps call for 1) an immediate ceasefire, 2) the delivery of humanitarian assistance to all Syrians, and 3) the beginnings of negotiations among domestic and international parties involved. Danspeckgruber and Mar Gregorios write, “The only effective way forward is an immediate, concerted, and unified international strategy that engages those whose interests have prolonged the battle thus far.”

As part of the international strategy, the authors also argue for the creation of a “Syria Contact Group” in a step similar to the Dayton Process and efforts to resolve the Yugoslav crisis in the 1990s. While urging concerted effort among global powers to facilitate a ceasefire in Syria and to mitigate regional spill-over of the conflict, Danspeckgruber and Mar Gregorios also note that any solution to the current crisis must be undertaken in cooperation with Syrians with an eye toward domestic political realities. “[S]teps by the international community should occur in tandem with an internal political process that is not only inclusive of all Syrians, but also led by Syrians,” they argue. “This includes religious leaders of all faiths, as these faith leaders ensure the continuation of a functioning societal fabric in Syria and help soften any radical rhetoric that may hold the political process hostage.”…..

Don’t Blame Obama for Syria
What’s happening in Syria is a tragedy. But John Hannah needs to recognize that the civil war was never ours to win or lose.
BY AARON DAVID MILLER | DECEMBER 14, 2012

Syria is a tragedy. Too much blood has flowed to imagine a negotiated transition and apparently not enough to warrant an effective intervention by a divided, cautious, and self-interested international community. And it may well be that the real struggle for Syria — the one that determines its future character — has yet to begin.

But to lay this bloody mess at President Barack Obama’s doorstep, as John Hannah (a guy I respect and admire) does in his recent post for FP, is both wrong and unfair.

I write this not so much in defense of Obama’s policies as in recognition of the cruel reality and terrible choices the United States has faced with regards to the Syrian uprising and civil war.

During this entire two-year debate on what Obama should or shouldn’t have done on Syria, I have yet to hear a single military strategy that the administration could have adopted that would have been feasible, effective, and consequential in altering the bloody arc of this crisis for the better….

Members of Assad’s Sect Blamed in Syria Killings
By LIAM STACK and HANIA MOURTADA
Published: December 12, 2012

Scores of Syrian civilians belonging to President Bashar al-Assad’s minority Alawite sect were killed Tuesday in the first known Alawite massacre since the Syrian conflict began. But the killings, in the village of Aqrab, happened under circumstances that remain unclear.

Rights organizations researching the massacre said Wednesday that members of the shabiha, a pro-government Alawite militia, were the killers. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, an anti-Assad group based in Britain with a network of contacts inside Syria, said 125 to 150 civilians died.

The accusation, if confirmed, would be a shocking episode of Alawite-on-Alawite violence in a conflict punctuated by violence between sects.

Fred Hof

The United States’ former point person on Syria admits that there is practically no chance diplomacy will ever remove Bashar al-Assad.

Former Ambassador Frederic Hof told CNN’s Christiane Amanpour on Wednesday, “My sense is that this will be ultimately decided through force of arms on the ground” – despite the Obama administration’s reluctance to give heavy weapons to rebels.

Syria’s Local Leadership
DECEMBER 13, 2012 Hassan Hassan
Carnegie Foundation, Thursday, December 13, 2012

After the anti-regime uprising began in Syria almost two years ago, the role of community leaders inside the country is still largely unappreciated. Currently, the opposition’s political leaders include mostly either Syrians living abroad or people who claim to represent their communities. Efforts to form truly representative opposition bodies have so far focused on whether all religious, political and social groups are represented. But a more prudent approach would be to reach out to local leaders to help maintain law and order after the regime falls. Local figures that have influence over communities—whether tribal, ethnic, religious, or business—are already playing an increasingly important role in organizing and mobilizing their communities for a post-uprising Syria. This is already the case in the province of Deir Ezzor, a predominately tribal area in the eastern part of the country…..

The Syrian conflict: a war photographer’s story
Associated Press photographer Narciso Contreras describes the harrowing situation on the ground in Aleppo and tells the story behind some of his powerful images

A Syrian civilian falls down on the street after being shot in his stomac

A Syrian civilian falls down on the street after being shot by a Syrian army sniper

I have been covering the situation in Aleppo since August. When I first arrived here, I was taken to the Hullok and Hananu districts – areas that were subject to heavy bombing. Since then, I have known what to expect. It scared me.

My time is spent photographing the situation faced by civilians in Aleppo, how they cope with hardly anything and how they deal with their tragedy. There is no electricity, no petrol, there is a lack of bread. It is also now winter and the city is freezing.

The people here are divided over the war: some support the insurgency, some don’t. A large number of the population are desperate, they want this war to end; at least in the area controlled by the rebel fighters, which is constantly under heavy shelling and suffers from a lack of supplies. Most of the areas controlled by the rebels are working-class neighbourhoods. There is no place for them to go. They continue with their daily lives as far as they can, leaving everything in the hands of Allah. They call themselves martyrs and are open to sacrifice themselves.

The most brutal situation that I have witnessed has been the shelling of civilian neighbourhoods. It has been indiscriminate. The bombs and mortar artillery can land anywhere at any moment. It is too dangerous to dare to stand on the street for any length of time.

I once went to the hospital to photograph victims of the shelling. There was not enough space, so all the wounded and lifeless bodies were just lying on the floor. I felt dizzy when I saw one child lying on the floor, weeping, bleeding from his foot while holding a coin in his hand. He was injured while queuing for bread and a mortar hit the bakery. He was terrified. When his mother came to find him he opened his hand, giving back the coin and said, “Please mum, don’t send me out for bread again, I don’t want to go and buy bread any more.”

Vijay Prashad

My three part essay is now complete.
Part 1 is on Refugees:
Part 2 is on Neighbors:
Part 3 is on Western Plans:

Comments (231)


Pages: « 1 2 3 4 [5] Show All

201. SANDRO LOEWE said:

Now, after 2 years of massive killings and city bombings, and after 40.000 dead at least, Farouk Al Sharr-a realizes he need a national reconicliation.

Shame on you Sharaa and Assad and all of you, crazy syrian regime supporters.

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December 17th, 2012, 10:30 am

 

202. Tara said:

“Al-Sharaa, who also once acted as Syria’s foreign minister, noted that neither the rebels nor government has the military ability to reach what he called “a conclusive end.”

What an admittance of humiliating defeat!! What happened to khalset? What happened to Souria bi khair? 40,000 killed and 2 millions internally displace and they think there is still a room for the current regime in ruling Syria?

In my opinion, Sharaa should redo the interview… The only acceptable solution is to declare the resignation and self- exile of Batta et al and then a political transition so the state does not collapse and the Alawis are not slaughtered in revenge.

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December 17th, 2012, 10:53 am

 

203. zoo said:

An auto-criticism and cool-headed analysis of the situation from a Sunni “regime” man. Interesting to read it all.

Exclusive Interview: Syrian VP Farouk Al-Sharaa Proposes Alternative to War

http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/exclusive-interview-syrian-vp-farouk-al-sharaa-proposes-alternative-war

“The problem gets bigger and deeper when some start thinking that victory and defeat are possible. The opposition forces combined cannot decide the battle of overthrowing the regime militarily, unless they aim to pull the country into chaos and an unending circle of violence. Meanwhile, I do not see that what the security forces and the army units are doing will not reach a conclusive end, especially since we understand, without any illusions, the threat of the current campaign to destroy Syria, its history, civilization, and people.

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December 17th, 2012, 11:31 am

 

204. Tara said:

Zoo,

Please ..like being a Sunni while serving the regime gives him more credential. How is he different than the so called “handsome” boy of The Tlasses.

In my view, he becomes more of a culprit. I would definitely favor an Alawi that is anti regime to propse a solution.

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December 17th, 2012, 11:39 am

 

205. Uzair8 said:

Great Expectations.

So what are we expecting for 2013? I don’t know. I know who is possibly expecting.

We know the Duchess of Cambridge is. There is talk of Asma Assad. They are now seemingly joined by the North Korean ‘First Lady':

[Sky News]

North Korea: Leader Expecting A Little ‘Un?

The wife of Kim Jong-un has sparked speculation of a heir after being pictured looking heavily pregnant.

Monday 17 December 2012

By Mark Stone, Asia Correspondent

North Korea could be about to make a second propaganda-boosting announcement in as many weeks following TV footage which suggests that the country’s First Lady might be pregnant.

Read more:

http://news.sky.com/story/1026497/north-korea-leader-expecting-a-little-un

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December 17th, 2012, 11:44 am

 

206. zoo said:

It is so interesting that the opposition supporters and the AL (under Qatar’s control) were begging Al Sharaa to take over the ‘transitional’ government a year ago, and now that he calls for reconciliation, they reject him.

I guess Al Khatib will meet the same fate should he call for a similar path to a peaceful solution.

After reading that interview, I think that Al Khatib and Al Sharaa could be good partners in a dialog in the future of Syria, if the pro-chaos microcephales will not get rid of them.

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December 17th, 2012, 11:44 am

 

207. Syria no Kandahar said:

الشام ارض الخلافة -٢
So all this is about istablishing Islamic state….all
The talk about freedom and democracy was a crap.This is Syria the way the SC visitor toilet
Want:

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December 17th, 2012, 12:06 pm

 

208. Citizen said:

Democracy seekers !
http://youtu.be/sA9-E6MpcAc?t=1m59s
America has a great history of causing problems worldwide throughout its inception. By crating false attacks, spreading propaganda and using 3rd party mercenaries they overthrow leaders and governments that don’t have their best interests. Today US are the Israeli attack dog. Why? because the Federal reserve and world banks are run by Zionists, not jews, Zionists. Zionists are the real anti-semites of this world and need to be exposed and run out of power.

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December 17th, 2012, 12:27 pm

 

209. Akbar Palace said:

Citizen,

Thanks for the heads-up regarding all the banks “run by Zionists”. Why do you think this is important information on this website? Does Bashar Assad need a loan?

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December 17th, 2012, 12:51 pm

 

210. Johannes de Silentio said:

208. CITIZEN

“Zionists are the real anti-semites of this world and need to be exposed and run out of power”

Good to know, Citizen Boy. We weren’t aware of the extent of their influence. Thanks for hitting the ground running with this vital information. Now how about naming some names. I’m sure if you have all this data on them, you must know who they are.

Personally, I think Shlomo is one of them. Shlomo’s a Jewish name, yes? And what about Akbario Palazzio? He has that lean and hungry look about him.

Names, Citizen. Give us names!

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December 17th, 2012, 1:16 pm

 

211. Citizen said:

For God’s sake! Please sort out your affairs there in America! When you have a good affairs , all the world will be very happy!

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December 17th, 2012, 1:20 pm

 

212. 5 dancing shlomos said:

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article33286.htm

Road Map Drawn Up by Syrian Traitors to Serve Imperialists, Gulf Monarchies

By Noureddine Merdaci

The following is a translation of an article originally published in The Sham Times.

December 11, 2012 “Information Clearing House” – It will perhaps take months, if not years, before we will be able to reconstruct the process by which Syria found itself trapped in this civil war. Obviously, Damascus had not measured the danger, not only for the regime in power, but even for Syria itself, now in danger of disappearing as a nation-state. However, the veil begins to lift on the circumstances of the “conclave” held in Doha in early November, which saw a heterogeneous “opposition” – divided, without a program and without perspective – provide itself with a leader, Moez Ahmed al-Khatib, and a “coalition.”

But to achieve this, according to sources familiar with the matter, the Syrian “opponents” were ordered by Qatar to “find” an agreement, sine qua non, before leaving the room they were provided. This means that the “Syrian opposition” had a gun to its head, forcing it to reach this minimum agreement. Qatari Prime Minister, Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber al-Thani, took a personal interest in the proceedings. In reality, the “revolt” in Syria, totally managed by foreign countries and their intelligence services, was a proxy war against the Syrian national state, a war which needed “Syrians at their service” only to serve as “local color.”

In Syria, it is fighters coming from many Arab countries, elements of al-Qaeda, jihadists from Afghanistan, Somalia and Pakistan – well-armed – who kill Syrian civilians and fight against the Syrian army alongside a handful of deserters. So, in Doha, it was necessary to “unify” the opposition, whose credibility was placed in question, even by one of its main sponsors, the United States, which has applied its full weight to restore a semblance of consistency and visibility to an opposition created completely by France, Qatar, and the United States in particular, and supported by Turkey, which “persuaded” NATO to install “Patriot” missiles on its territory – more precisely on the borders with Syria. Doha has been a refocusing of a rebellion that had not been able to achieve the goals ordered by its sponsors.

In fact, we can better understand the situation when we know the terms of the “Doha Protocol,” a document we have been able to consult, which contains the following 13 points:

1. Syria should reduce the number of soldiers of the Syrian army to 50,000;

2. Syria will assert its right to sovereignty over the Golan only by political means. Both parties will sign peace agreements under the auspices of the United States and Qatar;

3. Syria must get rid of, under the supervision of the United States, all its chemical and biological weapons and all of its missiles. This operation must be carried out on the land of Jordan;

4. To cancel any claim of sovereignty over Liwa Iskenderun (Alexandretta) and to withdraw in favor of Turkey from some border villages inhabited by Turkmens in “muhafazahs” in Aleppo and Idlib;

5. To expel all members of the Workers Party of Kurdistan, and to hand over those wanted by Turkey. This party should be added to the list of terrorist organizations;

6. To cancel all agreements and contracts signed with Russia and China in the fields of subsurface drilling and armaments;

7. To allow Qatari gas pipeline passage through the Syrian territory toward Turkey and then on to Europe;

8. To allow water pipes to pass through the Syrian territory from the Atatürk Dam to Israel;

9. Qatar and United Arab Emirates pledge to rebuild what has been destroyed by the war in Syria on the condition that their companies have the exclusive access to contracts for reconstruction and for exploitation of Syrian oil and gas;

10.To terminate relations with Iran, Russia and China;

11.To break off relations with Hezbollah and with Palestinian resistance movements;

12. The Syrian regime should be Islamic and not Salafi;

13. This agreement will come into effect as soon as power is taken ((Algerian) Editor’s note: by the “Opposition”).

This is the price of foreign pressures and of resignation and treachery on the part of Arab states. A high price, an exorbitant price for Syria that persons calling themselves “Syrian” have endorsed. Indeed, this agreement, or rather “Protocol,” is thus the price that the Syrian opposition will have to pay once installed in power in Damascus, as stated in Article 13 of the “Doha Agreement.”

In this way, each of the sponsors of the “revolt of the Syrian people” has helped himself according to his own interests and appetite. The United States, by disarming Syria and distancing the nation from its friends; Turkey, by retrieving Syrian villages and modifying the common borders according to its interests; Qatar, by being granted contracts for the “reconstruction” of the country; and Saudi Arabia, by the establishment of an Islamic regime of its devotion.

This is a virtual castration of Syria, to be stripped of its sovereignty just as Egypt was by the Camp David Agreements in 1979. Actually, it is as if the “opposition” – supported at arm’s length by Qatar – were to demand the immediate recognition of Israel, with, however, as in Article 2 of the Doha protocol, a negotiated settlement.

This is a sharing of Syrian hoard! Nowhere is there any question of democracy, freedom, human rights, building a new Syria in which the Syrians, whatever their ethnicity, religion and belief, enjoy the same rights. Instead, each of the “sponsors” served himself first, taking whatever he wanted.

For those who know the turbulent history of the Ottoman Middle East, everything is explained, and Doha was the point of no return for a Syrian opposition that no longer had a voice. It was only to justify the “syrianity” of the events. This was clearly seen in Cairo when the new “boss” of the “coalition,” Moez Ahmed al-Khatib, arrived in the baggage of Sheikh Hamad bin Jassim bin Jaber al-Thani for the Arab League meeting that took place in the mid-November.

In Syria, the scenario acted out for Libya is surpassed, and there is now danger of a general destabilization of the world, even that fragmentation for which American civilian “experts” and military have been working without interruption. We should consider this situation seriously!

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December 17th, 2012, 1:30 pm

 

213. revenire said:

Of course America is run by an oligarchy. Obama has no business lecturing Assad. It is funny to watch. Obama has murdered far more people with drone attacks and NATO intervention in Libya than Assad ever dreamt of.

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December 17th, 2012, 1:30 pm

 

214. 5 dancing shlomos said:

in case it was missed,

“traitors serving”

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December 17th, 2012, 1:31 pm

 

215. Majed97 said:

مهمة الإبراهيمي تنتظر الأسد والوضع العسكري.. وحكومة انتقالية تسمّيها دمشـق والمعارضة

http://www.kassioun.org/index.php?mode=article&id=22251

الأخضر الإبراهيمي في باريس بانتظار ضوء أخضر من دمشق لاستقباله. المبعوث الأممي العربي لا يريد أن يكرّر تجربة الانتظار الماضية في العاصمة السورية، عندما أمضى فيها أربعة أيام قبل أن يستقبله الرئيس بشار الأسد. وبخلاف المهمات السابقة، يذهب الإبراهيمي إلى دمشق حاملا عرضا سياسيا يستند إلى تقارب أميركي ـ روسي في اجتماعات عقدت في جنيف الأسبوع الماضي، حضرها نائب وزير الخارجية الروسي ميخائيل بوغدانوف ومساعد الخارجية الأميركية وليام بيرنز، والسفير الأميركي في دمشق روبرت فورد.
وبحسب مصدر ديبلوماسي أوروبي، سينقل الإبراهيمي، وفق هذا التقارب الروسي ـ الأميركي، طلبا إلى الأسد بتسمية وزراء يمثلون النظام في الحكومة الانتقالية التي تفترض مشاركة المعارضة فيها، وذلك استنادا إلى اتفاق جنيف، الذي أيدته الحكومة السورية فور الإعلان عنه.
ويعد تحديد موعد للإبراهيمي في دمشق، مؤشرا مبدئيا على موافقتها على البحث في تطبيق الاتفاق للمرة الأولى منذ الإعلان عنه في 30 حزيران الماضي، كما يعد مؤشرا على محاولة إحداث اختراق سياسي في جدار الأزمة. وقال المصدر الديبلوماسي إن أحدا من الروس أو الأميركيين لم يطرح اسم نائب الرئيس السوري فاروق الشرع كحامل لصلاحيات الرئيس، وأن البحث جار في تسمية رئيس حكومة انتقالية من معارضة الداخل.
ويقول معارض سوري بارز إنه يقترن تعيين الأسماء المرشحة بالتطورات الجارية على الأرض، عسكريا وسياسيا، فإذا استمر النظام قويا، فمن المحتمل أن تعلو أسماء كهيثم مناع أو حسن عبد العظيم، وإذا ما استنزف النظام فتعلو أسماء كرياض حجاب أو رياض سيف.
ورغم الحرب النفسية والإعلامية التي تشن ضده، فهو لا يزال متحصنا في ريف دمشق ودمشق وجزء واسع من المنطقة الوسطى والجنوب، ويمنع هيمنة المعارضة على الشمال بطيرانه، ويتمسك بمراكز المدن الرئيسة.
ويستعد الجيش السوري في الأيام المقبلة لتنفيذ عملية إعادة انتشار، والانسحاب من الأرياف لتقليل الخسائر والتمركز حول المدن والمحاور الإستراتيجية وعقد المواصلات.
ويعتبر المعارض السوري أن احتمال نشوء أكثر من حكومة أمر وارد، وقد تتشكل، إذا ما سادت الفوضى، حكومة سلفية، وثانية لـ«الائتلاف الوطني لقوى الثورة والمعارضة السورية» و«المجلس الوطني» وثالثة للنظام. وقال إن خيارا ثالثا يظل محتملا، وهو اختيار شخصيات محايدة، تزخر بها سوريا، كحل وسط.
ومن المفترض أن يلتقي الإبراهيمي بعد الأسد، بمسؤولي «الائتلاف»، و«المجلس الوطني السوري»، و«هيئة التنسيق الوطني»، و«المنبر الديموقراطي»، و«تيار بناء الدولة»، وهو ما بدأ به في باريس في الأيام الماضية. وسيطلب من المعارضة تسمية ممثليها المحتملين في الحكومة الانتقالية، إذا ما استطاع انتزاع موافقتها على ذلك. والأرجح أن يواجه الإبراهيمي صعوبات أخرى لإقناع «الائتلاف» و«المجلس الوطني» بتسمية مرشحين لحكومة انتقالية، ليس بسبب رفض المعارضة المشاركة فيها ما دام الأسد في الحكم فحسب، ولو من دون صلاحيات. إذ تعتقد أوساط المعارضة، لاسيما «الائتلاف» و«المجلس الوطني»، أن الزمن السياسي قد استنفد، وأن ذراعها المقاتل قد حقق انتصارات كبيرة وسيطر على مناطق واسعة، لاسيما في الشمال، وأن الحسم العسكري أصبح ممكنا، بعد تدفق التسليح القطري والسعودي لفتح معركة ثالثة في دمشق، ولا حاجة لإعطاء الأسد، تنازلات وفرصة ليعمّر في النظام.
ويبدو دفاع بعض المعارضة عن السلفيين الجهاديين و«القاعدة» في صفوف الثورة السورية، رغم إدانة الحليف الأميركي له، طلاقا مع الخيار السياسي برمته، وهو عنصر يعد بنصر عسكري قريب يغني عن جنيف وغيرها، خصوصا أن «جبهة النصرة» وأجنحة إسلامية أخرى، لا تملك تصورا لمآل الأزمة سوى إسقاط النظام بالقوة، وإحالة سوريا إلى مشروع إسلامي. ويقدم مقرّبون من الإبراهيمي تقديرات تشير إلى وجود e آلاف مقاتل في «جبهة النصرة» يؤدون دورا أساسيا في العمليات القتالية يفوق دور مجموعات «الجيش الحر» في بعض الجبهات، خصوصا في حلب وادلب.
ومن المتوقع أن يعود الإبراهيمي إلى جنيف، لجولة تقييم كاملة مع شركائه الأميركيين والروس، بعيدا عن الأوروبيين الذين جرى استبعادهم عن المفاوضات حول سوريا، بمجرد ابتداء التقارب الروسي ـ الأميركي، ومحاولة إحداث اختراق سياسي.
وفي الانتظار، لا يبدو الإبراهيمي كثير التفاؤل بالقدرة على ضخ جرعة سياسية في المذبحة السورية المفتوحة. ورغم تمسكه بالمحاولة، إلا انه لا يمنح نفسه، والحل السياسي، فرصة نجاح تزيد عن العشرة في المئة.
وبالتزامن مع الإعداد لوضع خطة جنيف والإبراهيمي على طاولة المعارضة والنظام، استأنفت دائرة قوات حفظ السلام في الأمم المتحدة مشاورات بدأتها في تشرين الأول الماضي، للبحث في تشكيل قوات فصل دولية ترسل إلى سوريا في حال التوصل إلى وقف إطلاق للنار والعمل على مراقبته.
والتقى المسؤول عن عمليات حفظ السلام في المنظمة الدولية هيرفيه لادسو، يوم الجمعة الماضي في نيويورك، ممثلي 20 دولة، تشارك في جبهات مختلفة لقوات حفظ السلام الدولية، وتقوم عادة بتزويد الدائرة بما تحتاجه من جنود.
وقال مصدر ديبلوماسي إن الدول العربية لم تشارك في الاجتماع، وأن الأمم المتحدة تبحث مع الدول المشاركة في تشكيل قوة يتراوح قوامها بين d إلى a` آلاف جندي تنقل إلى سوريا، لكن ليس قبل أن تحقق مهمة الإبراهيمي خطوتها الأولى نحو الحل في سوريا.
إلى ذلك، دخل الطيران الحربي على خط المعركة التي كانت تدور وقائعها في اليومين الماضيين بين مقاتلي عدة فصائل فلسطينية والمسلحين، في مخيم اليرموك للاجئين الفلسطينيين في دمشق. (تفاصيل صفحة 14)
وقال وزير الخارجية الفرنسي لوران فابيوس، في برنامج تلفزيوني «دوليات آر اف آي – تي في 5/لوموند»، «اعتقد أن النهاية تقترب بالنسبة لبشار الأسد، لقد رأيتم أن الروس أيضا يتوقعون ذلك، ولو أن الأمر كان مثار جدل». ووصف الغارة الجوية لمخيم اليرموك بأنها «مشينة».

السفير

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December 17th, 2012, 1:39 pm

 

216. Citizen said:

210 – Personally, I think Shlomo is one of them. Shlomo’s a Jewish name
dissentious strange child :
can you read below ?
ܫܠܡܐ ܘܚܘܒܐ
if you cant go to Syria and learn more !!!

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December 17th, 2012, 1:42 pm

 

217. Johannes de Silentio said:

213. REVINIRE

“Obama has murdered far more people than Assad ever dreamed of”

You’re an ignorant little man, Revvie, hiding behind a fake name. Bashar has killed far more and you know it. A few months ago, one of your ignorant, fake-name colleagues here on SC (I think it was Zoo) put forth the proposition that George W. Bush had killed more people than Saddam Hussein. Poor Zoo was booed off the Blog by the rest of us (who know better than to believe that crap).

But you’re half right. It’s more than Assad ever dreamed of. Because men like Bashar don’t dream. They can’t. Because if they did, the ghosts of the thousands they killed would haunt them.

Now Revvie, go back in your silly little hole and play with yourself…

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December 17th, 2012, 1:49 pm

 

218. Syrialover said:

ZOO #196,

That wasn’t a psychological portrait of you, it was picture of you professionally.* And you reinforced it by now addng things about the “Syrian people” and the “disastrous and sickening war”

ZOO wrote:”I prefer to concentrate on promoting how to save Syria with compromises”

Translation: “Promoting how to save ASSAD in his current role with (cough, splutter) dialogue and an election”

*Footnote: I wouldn’t even pretend to understand the psyche of someone who can sit here coolly for month after month, push, push pushing away with many posts daily, beating a steady drum trying different angles to deflect and distract from criticism of the regime.

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December 17th, 2012, 1:53 pm

 

219. Dolly Buster said:

213. revenire said:

Of course America is run by an oligarchy. Obama has no business lecturing Assad.

 
What oligarchy?
Does Obama bomb his own cities with airforce?

You weirdos need to give up these Conspiracy Theories. Real people are dying while you are watching Alex Jones and UFO documentaries.

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December 17th, 2012, 1:53 pm

 
 

221. Syrialover said:

#213. REVENIRE says to himself:

“I’m so naughty, giggle giggle. That should stir them.”

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December 17th, 2012, 2:00 pm

 

222. zoo said:

Revenire

“Does Obama bomb his own cities with airforce?”

For the US, killing masses of non-US citizens and destroying non-US cities is not a crime, it is a show of its power.
Its 20th history is full of it.

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December 17th, 2012, 2:02 pm

 

223. Citizen said:

Syria. The war on terrorist international.
http://anna-news.info/node/9258

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December 17th, 2012, 2:03 pm

 

224. zoo said:

SL

“I wouldn’t even pretend to understand”

I know, it is beyond you, so maybe you should concentrate on trying to understand yourself first.

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December 17th, 2012, 2:07 pm

 

225. Syrialover said:

ZOO #224

Oh, my feelings and attitude about what’s happening in Syria are crystal clear, and dare I say it, normal.

No fooling around with smoke and mirrors and “tactics” like you.

Good example: the jokester REVENIRE handed you a play ball and you eagerly grabbed it and ran, ran ran with it (#222) .

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December 17th, 2012, 2:17 pm

 

226. revenire said:

At this point Obama has not started bombing US cities except with budget cuts.

US elections are a fraud and the money of Wall St. runs them. Candidates are puppets of finance. It has been this way for a long time in the States.

It is really funny to see people complaining about Assad when Obama has murdered far more innocent people in Libya alone.

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December 17th, 2012, 2:21 pm

 

227. zoo said:

Finally the West is spelling out their worst fear if the rebels start to “win”. The question is : Will Good rebels fight Evil rebels to prevent them from taking hold of the chemical weapons and threatened Good Israel?

U.S. plans for possibility that Assad could lose control of chemical arms cache

By Craig Whitlock and Carol Morello, Published: December 16
http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-plans-for-possibility-that-assad-could-lose-control-of-chemical-arms-cache/2012/12/16/f4912be2-4628-11e2-a685-c1fad0d6cd1f_story.html

As Bashar al-Assad’s hold on power steadily weakens, U.S. officials are increasingly worried that Syria’s weapons of mass destruction could fall into the hands of Islamist extremists, rogue generals or other uncontrollable factions.

Last week, fighters from a group that the Obama administration has branded a terrorist organization were among rebels who seized the Sheik Suleiman military base near Aleppo, where research on chemical weapons had been conducted. Rebels are also closing in on another base near Aleppo, known as Safirah, which has served as a major production center for such munitions, according to U.S. officials and analysts.

The opposition Free Syrian Army said it did not find any chemical weapons at the first installation. But the developments have fanned fears that even if Assad does not attack his own people with chemical weapons, he is on the verge of losing control of his formidable arsenal.
….
Meanwhile, the U.S. government and some European allies have hired private contractors to train Syrian rebels how to monitor and secure chemical weapons sites should Assad abandon or lose control of any of his stocks, according to CNN. A State Department spokeswoman declined to comment on the report.

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December 17th, 2012, 2:22 pm

 

228. zoo said:

SL

Yes, as “normal” as the FSA your friends fighting along Islamist extremists and foreign criminals for “dignity and freedom of expression” in Syria

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December 17th, 2012, 2:29 pm

 

229. Syrialover said:

New thread started.

ZOO #228- now you are being lazy and slapdash. You should read my many posts on the Islamists. and my concern that they should not benefit from the revolution and sacrifice of others.

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December 17th, 2012, 2:32 pm

 

230. zoo said:

Another “victory” for the rebels: Creating more refugees…
Palestinians flood into Lebanon after Damascus fighting

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/12/17/syria-crisis-camp-idUSL5E8NH9OI20121217

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December 17th, 2012, 2:36 pm

 

231. zoo said:

229. Syrialover

Then you agree with me that the FSA, intimately associated with the islamist extremists, must be neutralized before it is too late.

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December 17th, 2012, 2:39 pm

 

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