Posted by Joshua on Monday, August 20th, 2007
Syria and Israel: The Changing Military Balance and the Prospects for War
Washington, DC, August 20, 2007- Syria and Israel: The Changing Military Balance and the Prospects of War
Anthony H. Cordesman
The political and military relations between Syria and Israel continue to remain strained, and there have been reports that both nations may be heading towards a new round of fighting on the Golan. The Golan has been the scene of recent military exercises by both sides, and is the most likely contingency in the event of a conflict.
The attached report is a rough working draft of an analysis of the trends in the Israeli-Syrian balance, and in each country's military forces. It examines the prospects for a future Syrian-Israeli war, and focuses on characteristics of a potential conflict in the Golan region.
The conduct and aftermath of the 2006 Second Lebanon War between Israel and Hezbollah had a significant impact on the military strategies of both Israel and Syria. The report details how these and other events have affected recent military developments in Damascus and Jerusalem, and offers a comparative perspective on recent defense and military planning in the two states.
In addition, the report presents a comparative analysis of the land, air, and naval military forces of Syria and Israel. It also discusses comparative military expenditures the trends in arms imports, including the most recent arms transfer agreements between the two states and outside powers.
It is being circulated in draft form both to provide background for media and other analysts, but also to obtain comments, suggestions, and corrections. Your suggestions and comments will be much appreciated, and incorporated in future updates. Please email them to Anthony H. Cordesman at email@example.com
To find the full Report Click Here (fixed!)