Syria in Limbo: Neither Reunification nor Partition Are Yet Possible

By Vahik Soghom, BA. AUB, MA. Univ of St. Andrews, Humboldt Univ of Berlin

tanks face off 8a

Is Syria headed toward some form of partition?

Recent developments in the conflict give credence to a number of fears that have been making the rounds for quite a while now. The long-accepted observation that the Syrian army is growing increasingly unable to independently engage in military confrontations against a motivated enemy is becoming eerily palpable in Idlib and Palmyra. Along with painstaking losses of strategically significant territory, this naturally unearths the fear that Syria is on the road to partition—a tripartite or even quadripartite partition. The way it might look is: the northeast of the country for the Kurds, the central to eastern portion for the IS, the northwestern portion (i.e., Idlib) for the Jaish al-Fatah, and the western stretch for the Assad regime. Aleppo is still divided among the contenders, and Daraa and Quneitra yet await their verdict.

This proto-partition has come into shape after years of intensive clashes on multiple fronts and the rise of both local and global takfiri militant movements. The belief that the Islamic State, with its global jihadi ideology, is the only significant force capable of redrawing the map has been challenged by the Jaish al-Fatah’s recent takeover of Idlib city as well as Jisr al-Shughur. Idlib province will now be the testing ground for an Islamic emirate overseen by takfiris with a more localist bent. This new reality has emerged partly as a side effect of the deaths or desertions of nearly half the regime’s soldiers, combined with the near impossibility of recruiting fighters from among the local population. Far from being capable of launching an effective assault to retake Idlib, the regime now has a number of worrying prospects to deal with. Latakia, a regime stronghold neighboring Idlib, is now under the threat of a possible Jaish al-Fatah attack, and the Islamic State has successfully seized Palmyra. The Southern front, meanwhile, has long proven to be challenging, and there is no less danger for Dara’a and Quneitra to fall into militant hands.

The question that naturally arises at this point is whether this proto-partition signals the early stage of an irreversible de facto partition. Answering in the affirmative ignores a number of important observations that indicate an indefinite prolongation of the conflict, as opposed to either a comprehensive peace settlement or a de facto partition. By extension, a gloomy forecast of events is expected, with gruesome tragedies and loss of life continuing to make their mark on the Syrian drama—unless, of course, the actors opt for peace or partition. Neither, however, seems likely.

After securing Idlib, Jaish al-Fatah will likely turn toward Latakia and Homs

After securing Idlib, Jaish al-Fatah will likely turn toward Latakia and Homs—Photo: Reuters/Khalil Ashawi

The start of a third round of peace talks has been downplayed in the media, and rightly so. This is because the talks, which are as complicated as the conflict itself, will not achieve anything remotely close to a comprehensive peace deal. The peace plan suffers from two basic limitations. Firstly, neither side is ready to accept the most basic demand of the other, namely that Bashar stays or leaves. This alone makes it impossible for the peace process to bring about a unified Syria based on a form of consociational democracy. Secondly, the two major opposition forces controlling the largest chunks of land—the IS and Jaish al-Fatah—are not, and cannot be, invited to participate. This poses the awkward question of who exactly the regime will negotiate with. The moderate opposition is virtually dead, and any serious comprehensive agreement would thus have to include, at the least, local takfiri groups like Jaish al-Fatah. But since no one wants to talk to the takfiris, and since the takfiris, by definition, don’t want to talk to anyone else, a comprehensive peace agreement is virtually impossible. And so the second possible outcome of the peace process, namely a de jure partition of Syria recognized under international law, will not be realized either.

Jaish al-Fatah fighters

Jaish al-Fatah fighters

Well, then, what about de facto partition, i.e. one not recognized under international law but that forms naturally on the ground? It is a much more plausible scenario than peace or de jure partition, and one can point out that it has already begun. A good example of this form of partition is the case of Cyprus, where the southern portion of the Island is under the administration of the Republic of Cyprus, and the northern part under that of the self-declared Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus. Under international law, the Republic of Cyprus has de jure authority over the island’s entirety, though, in reality, it has had no actual authority over the north since 1974. Perhaps we should expect a similar kind of partition for Syria in the near future, albeit with more divisions than just two. But this would depend on the assumption that the Syrian regime and its allies, as well as their opponents, both opt (or become unable) to continue carrying out military campaigns on the various fronts. Since this is unlikely to be the case, de facto partition would also appear an improbable outcome.

The military and human losses of the Syrian army do not signal an end to its fighting capacity. Hezbollah, the regime’s invaluable partner, is the key factor in determining whether the regime still has a fighting chance. As argued previously, a successful campaign in Qalamoun will allow Hezbollah to deploy to other fronts and create the conditions for promising assaults. Indeed, Hezbollah has so far succeeded in Qalamoun, and has shown once again that it has the resources and capabilities to secure a quick and strategic victory. This edge will surely be taken to other fronts where potential similar victories in Idlib or elsewhere would not be surprising. As for Hezbollah’s own losses in Syria, these should not be exaggerated. It should be noted, firstly, that Hezbollah’s loss of around 1,000 soldiers is an expense it expects to incur in any serious confrontation with Israel. It has thus likely shaped its strategy and planning accordingly. Secondly, a recent report suggested that the organization is in fact growing, and that in spite of heavy deployment to multiple fronts, its important units in southern Lebanon remain unfazed.

Iran will spare no effort in continuing to bolster the Syrian regime

Iran will spare no effort in continuing to bolster the Syrian regime

Moreover, Iran’s relentless policy of confronting takfiri militants ensures that the regime will go beyond a defensive strategy that aims to secure the western stretch of the country, from Latakia down to Quneitra. In fact, Hezbollah members are said to have already deployed to Idlib province as part of early efforts to launch an offensive. If the regime is able to reverse the tide of losses, with Qalamoun as its starting-point, the next major battles will likely take place in Idlib and perhaps the Homs countryside. The ideological nature of the largely takfiri-Shiite war currently engulfing the Middle East should not be downplayed. As long as sectarian identity plays a role in fueling the conflict, neither side will be willing to accept even minimal defeat.

Turkish and Saudi policies have converged in supporting Jaish al-Fatah

Turkish and Saudi policies have converged in supporting Jaish al-Fatah

The Syrian drama will continue indefinitely. A unified or de jure-partitioned Syria, brokered by the international community, are not feasible outcomes, yet with continuously shifting battle lines, neither is de facto partition. Instead, what we have now is what I would call a proto-partition—a loose partition based on moving lines that are susceptible to significant alterations. That said, two important developments should be closely followed, as they may prove vital for shifting alliances as well as prospects for a partial settlement. The more important of these is the unification of Turkish, Qatari and Saudi policies in Syria, a crucial outcome of which was the formation of Jaish al-Fatah. This unified approach is centered on offering support for local, as opposed to global, takfiri groups operating in Syria. Since the bulk of Jaish al-Fatah members are interested in jihad within Syria, with little appetite for global jihad, it may be that the Turkish-Saudi-Qatari policy aims to prop up the legitimacy of these groups in the eyes of the West. Secondly, the possibility of Jabhat al-Nusra splitting off from the general command of al-Qaeda may be part of this localist strategy. Its ultimate goal may be to present the localist jihadists as potential partners for peace once all other options are exhausted. But it should be noted that the United States remains intent on undermining takfiri groups of all shapes and forms, and this policy will likely persist even amidst efforts of highlighting the localist agenda of the Jaish al-Fatah coalition.

In a sense, then, the U.S. shares certain affinities with both the Turkish-Saudi-Qatari position and the Iranian position in this conflict. With which side will it ultimately come to perceive its interests as more compatible? That remains to be seen.

Comments (88)


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51. Alan said:

Must read!
“Syrian commandos, coming off a series of successful raids against Al Nusra commands, killing and capturing Saudi, Turkish and Qatari officers in the process, had received unimaginably valuable intelligence from a prisoner taken in a raid…… They were told that an American retired general, US Army, had been employed by a UK based CIA contractor as operational commander for the Islamic State military.” ….. That is the true face an nature of proxy masters!!!
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2015/05/24/breaking-delta-force-raid-on-syria/

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May 26th, 2015, 10:54 am

 

52. Hopeful said:

#51 Alan

You forgot France and Israel! How about they were captured with French weapons carrying Israeli money?

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May 26th, 2015, 1:08 pm

 

53. SANDRO LOEWE said:

48 JAMAL

ONE GOD

You need one God, but you cannot prove the existence of one or multiple Gods. You have not more scientific evidence about it than other. You are an ignorant.

ONE SYRIA

There is not one Syria anymore, Assad today accepted the partition of Syria

ONE PRESIDENT AL ASSAD

The self imposed dictator president of 30 % of a country destroyed by himself.

ONE PLACE FOR TERRORISTS – THE GRAVE

I guess the grave is the place for all of us at the end

ONE DESTINATION FOR TRAITORS – THE PRISON

It happens in countries where there is a rule of law. In Assad Syria´s the righteous go to jail and the brave to the grave. The criminals are in the Mouhkabaraat HQ.

Do you know what? FY

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May 26th, 2015, 1:45 pm

 

54. Juergen said:

Daesh in Palmyra

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May 26th, 2015, 2:00 pm

 

55. Juergen said:

Islamic State revels in Palmyra victory amidst looted tons of weapons, ammunition

At the Palmyra airport, IS captured at least one hanger and store room containing tens of small-arms ammunition crates, and what appear to be at least twelve Kh-28/AS-9 ‘Kyle’ air-to-surface missiles. Photos of the ammunition and weapons cache first appeared on Twitter on Tuesday.

http://syriadirect.org/news/islamic-state-revels-in-palmyra-victory-amidst-looted-tons-of-weapons-ammunition/

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May 26th, 2015, 2:15 pm

 

56. jamal said:

53. SANDRO LOEWE

All what mentioned above actually makes sense.

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May 26th, 2015, 3:39 pm

 

57. El Chino said:

More on the widely-held Syrian conspiracy theory that the CIA and ISIS are in cahoots:

General Qassim Soleimani, head of Iran’s elite Quds forces in Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, told Iranian newspaper Javan that the U.S. didn’t do a “damn thing” to stop the advance on Ramadi.

Well gosh, it must have been planned, right? Of course, Soleimani ignored the fact that Iran, Shi’ite Iraq’s sugar daddy, didn’t do a damn thing either…

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May 26th, 2015, 4:37 pm

 

58. ALAN said:

15. POUL said:
/I agree that King Abdullah could be next. And after Jordan then IS will look to Mecca and Medina as the crown jewels of the Caliphate.
But first they have to win in Syria/.
Nothing prevents.
Why do they have to win in Syria to move forward on the other axes? That will be necessary, only in one case: to act in accordance to the sequence of Oded Yinon plan !!!

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May 27th, 2015, 12:15 am

 

59. ALAN said:

Michael O’Hanlon, a signatory of the Brookings Institution’s “Which Path to Persia?” policy paper calling for terrorism and intentional provocations to overthrow the government of Iran, stated in a USA Today op-ed titled, “Michael O’Hanlon: American boots needed in Syria,” that:
In the short term, this strategy requires an acceleration of our train and equip program for Syrian opposition fighters — including perhaps a bit less puritanical approach in who we are willing to work with. Most Syrian moderates are tired of waiting for us, or already dead given our delays in helping them. So we may have to tolerate working with some questionable actors to get things started.

“Working with some questionable actors,” is O’Hanlon and US policymakers’ way of saying they intend to provide open material support to terrorists, including Al Qaeda, as they’ve been covertly doing all along, and as was warned against as early as 2007 by Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Seymour Hersh in his article, “The Redirection: Is the Administration’s new policy benefiting our enemies in the war on terrorism?” which explicitly stated (emphasis added):

To undermine Iran, which is predominantly Shiite, the Bush Administration has decided, in effect, to reconfigure its priorities in the Middle East. In Lebanon, the Administration has coöperated with Saudi Arabia’s government, which is Sunni, in clandestine operations that are intended to weaken Hezbollah, the Shiite organization that is backed by Iran. The U.S. has also taken part in clandestine operations aimed at Iran and its ally Syria. A by-product of these activities has been the bolstering of Sunni extremist groups that espouse a militant vision of Islam and are hostile to America and sympathetic to Al Qaeda.
***
If the situation unravels there is the possibility of establishing a declared or undeclared Salafist principality in eastern Syria (Hasaka and Der Zor), and this is exactly what the supporting powers to the opposition want, in order to isolate the Syrian regime, which is considered t he strategic depth of the Shia Expansion (Iraq and Iran).
***
The vile conspiracy now openly unfolding in Syria, seeing to its destruction at the hands of terrorists the US is openly backing after claiming for over a decade to be “fighting” is a harbinger of the destruction that complacency and failure to resist will bring all other nations caught in the path of these special interests. Nations not immediately caught in the grip of chaos created by this conspiracy must use their time wisely, preparing the appropriate measures to resist. They must study carefully what has been done in Syria and learn from both the mistakes and accomplishments of the Syrian government and armed forces in fighting back.

More important than backing other powers to serve as a counterweight to the West’s global aggression, is to identify the consumerist foundation these special interests are built upon and perpetually depend on. By creating alternatives nationally and locally, the swamps from which this global pestilence is emitted can be slowly but permanently drained.

http://journal-neo.org/2015/05/25/washington-confesses-to-backing-questionable-actors-in-syria/

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May 27th, 2015, 12:51 am

 

60. El Chino said:

Alan, you need to stop reading journals written by stupid people. It makes you appear stupid by association. And what is worse, it won’t help you attract females…

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May 27th, 2015, 1:10 am

 

61. ALAN said:

Saudi Arabia Finances Most of Israel’s Weapons Build-Up Against Iran
http://www.richardsilverstein.com/2014/03/08/saudi-arabia-finances-most-of-israels-weapons-build-up-against-iran/

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May 27th, 2015, 1:14 am

 

62. Poul said:

58.Alan

Resources. You can only do so much. If you overextend, you get beaten. A classic mistake in military affairs.

Nazi-Germany is an example. Why did they not finish off Britain before attacking the Soviet-union?
A defeated Britain would have secured their Western and Southern border and insured full concentration on the Russians. And kept the USA on their side of the Atlantic.

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May 27th, 2015, 1:36 am

 

63. Altair said:

I don’t see why just because Syria is not in one piece today, people write it off as some sort of permanent arrangement.

Some fools who think they know something insist Syria was artificial all along. Syria (including Palestine, Lebanon, Jordan) has been one unit for most of recorded history, most recently the 400 year rule under the Ottomans (1516-1918).

Germany was divided for 45 years (1945-1990). And it didn’t get united until 1870, being divided for most of its history. Yet when the time came, it united almost faster than anyone could have imagined. Why?

1. Education. Germans were brought up believing that Germany was arbitrarily divided and would unite one day.
2. Economic success. West Germany became a rich country after Germany was devastated, just like Syria can be if it can learn lessons from this great catastrophe.
3. The Great Powers allowed it to reunify. That is the big wild card today.

Of course, Germany didn’t have an existential threat like the one posed by the Zionists to the west and the “Islamists” to the east (if only they knew how much they had in common).

But eastern Germans of Silesia and Pomerania were almost 100% ethnically cleansed out of what became Polish territory, which was a huge chunk of territory. (The similarity ends there: unlike the Germans, the Palestinians of southern Syria did not launch a world war to bring the violent backlash against them. They ironically became indirect victims to Germany’s aggression. Nonetheless, the ethnic cleansing was similar).

Syria is no less artificial than any other country of the world, until Syrians themselves start believing in such artificiality.

It is short-sighted and defeatist to just accept the downfall of Syria today.

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May 27th, 2015, 2:47 am

 

64. ALAN said:

62. PAUL
Our balancing side is an important necessity of this time period.

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May 27th, 2015, 3:40 am

 

65. ghufran said:

There is no doubt that the US is picking and choosing in its “war” against ISIS. Kurds with US support liberated an area near Hasaka equal to 1/2 Lebanon’s size in less than 3 weeks, and now Kurdish fighters are knocking at ISIS doors in Raqqa. Compare that to the timid response to ISIS advances in the rest of Syria(including its attack on Tadmur). The US policy in the last 4 years (and before) was that it will only intervene if its citizens or its “real” friends are being threatened, that means mostly Israel but it also includes the GCC and the Kurds (who have warm relations with Israel). Syrians will discover, if they have not figured this out yet, that they are not important and that their “friends” have left them in the cold to fend for themselves after they spent years killing each others and destroying their country, this war should not have started and should have been stopped a long time ago, the blood of Syrians will stain the history of Islam, the region and the West for generations to come.
Syria is a also show case of how indifferent and/or immoral realpolitik is especially in The Middle East and a proof that hungry and unemployed angry men can not lead a revolution or advance the cause freedom and democracy, those men need to be fed and be offered jobs not weapons !!

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May 27th, 2015, 9:42 am

 

66. ALAN said:

65. GHUFRAN
You make me repeat the same comment several times!
How Israel wants to restart the war in the Levant
by Thierry Meyssan
Far from admitting defeat, Benjamin Netanyahu is planning to sabotage the agreement between Washington and Teheran which is to be signed the 30th June 2015. In order to do so, he could restart the war in Syria. His idea is to continue the work already accomplished by the Islamic Emirate in Iraq, Syria, Libya and Yemen, by applying the Wright plan and creating an independent pseudo-Kurdistan straddling Iraq and Syria.
http://www.voltairenet.org/article187601.html

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May 27th, 2015, 10:29 am

 

67. Altair said:

#65
Couldn’t agree more.

Syrians have been played by many sides, maybe all sides. It’s just a geopolitical playground now.

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May 27th, 2015, 10:57 am

 

68. El Chino said:

61 Saudi Arabia Finances Most of Israel’s Weapons Build-Up…

Alan Alan Alan. You are a disgrace to this message board. You need to walk outside and tell the first Jew you meet to bitchslap you…

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May 27th, 2015, 2:55 pm

 

69. Ghufran said:

The orgasmic responses from some thawrajiyyeh to aljzaerra’s interview with Nusra terrorists chief Jolani were not only comic but also predictable. You can tell a lot about the direction of a ” revolution” by its leaders and the messages they send. It has to be depressing to see the original, yet insincere, slogans of democracy and freedom being hijacked by a terrorist group with support from GCC media and many people who were glad to carry a terrorist flag in a marsh to wipe out fellow citizens who are classified as Kuffar and god’s enemies.
The next time thawrajiyyeh try to apologize for Nusra ask them what type of a government and a society they want to replace existing regimes and see if they want their kids, especially girls, to live under Jolani’s rules !!
كوميديا ارهابيه سوداء و علم أشد سوادا

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May 27th, 2015, 6:54 pm

 

70. ALAN said:

68. EL CHINO
CC: The modorator
No need to personalize the subject. please commit to mutual respect, taking into account the conditions of participation!

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May 28th, 2015, 12:42 am

 

71. Uzair8 said:

Welcome back to all the pro-freedom/justice long term absentees!

Good to see you back along with the sensible comments.

Too many to mention by name.

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May 28th, 2015, 9:02 am

 

72. Uzair8 said:

Latest tweets from Shaykh Muhammad al-Yaqoubi:

– Al-Jazeera’s interview with Abu Muhammad Al-Golani is an attempt to polish his image. He confirmed his allegiance to Al-Qaeda. [14hrs ago]

– Al-Nusra” ideology does not belong to Syrian people who are Hanfis, Shafi’is, Ash’aris, & Sufis. [14h]

– there were rumours that Al-Nusra front was to defect from Al-Qaeda, Al-Golani confirmed in his interview his allegiance to Al-Qaeda. [14h]

– It looks like the Muslim Brotherhood and Al-Nusra are in alliance now. [14h]

– The so-called Islamic State will perish & vanish like deviators of the past; but Islam will always remain. [13h]

https://twitter.com/shaykhabulhuda

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May 28th, 2015, 9:08 am

 

73. jamal said:

# 71. Uzair8 said:

“Welcome back to all the pro-freedom/justice long term absentees!”

Even Sufies are supporting and welcoming terrorists and their allies now. Last time I checked your tareeqa shiekh was still hiding in Morocao or somewhere in North Africa.

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May 28th, 2015, 3:51 pm

 

74. jamal said:

# 70. ALAN

I agree this terrorists supporter (EL CHINO) should be banned along with the street girl.

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May 28th, 2015, 3:53 pm

 

75. jamal said:

Th returners suddenly showed up after being eavesdropping quietly like snakes waiting in the dark till the right moment comes and booooom the head comes out.

We the real lovers and citizens of Syria will stomp, squash your heads and send you back to your dark holes and dark ages with IS.

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May 28th, 2015, 4:02 pm

 

76. Uzair8 said:

A gentle reminder.

SYRIA COMMENT RULES

Messages containing any of the following will not be tolerated:

[…]

•Threats of death or violence;

[…]

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May 28th, 2015, 5:21 pm

 

77. jamal said:

Noway what a child cry me a river, run to mommy.

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May 28th, 2015, 6:18 pm

 

78. Ghufran said:

Idleb province is now almost totally controlled by Nusra and Islamist groups, next is the inevitable withdrawal from Dayr Azzour and an assault on Aleppo. If this happens you will see a protected zone in the north and a defacto partition of Syria.
The question is whether KSA and Turkey can convince Nusra to let the SNC politicians establish a government in the north. Another question is whether the Islamists will attack Latakia
and try to change borders in the south and threaten Damascus.
Isis is the wild card here after Nusra seems to be willing to play along with KSA and Turkey.
Jolani’s interview was the first chapter in a plan to polish Nusra’s image which will be followed by other moves including a request to remove Nusra from terrorim list.
أمه فاشله من الألف الى الياء

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May 28th, 2015, 11:10 pm

 

79. El Chino said:

Good analysis, Ghuffie.

But I wouldn’t call ISIS a wild card. It’s more a question of who’s driving the bus up north. I’d bet my money on ISIS. If indeed the Syrian Army is on the verge of collapse all over, ISIS, with its superlative tactical instincts and its prime manpower resources, could move several battle groups there in a nanosecond and punch a fresh hole in poor Bashar’s poopchute.

ISIS has the skill, the power and what is most important, the imagination. The Middle East hasn’t seen anything like ISIS since the days of Tamerlane. The men driving ISIS have vision…everyone else is wearing bifocals.

Don’t get me wrong. I’m not a fan of ISIS. I’m not an ISIS cheerleader. I’m just a guy who sees the writing on the wall.

Let’s hope Bashar has some nice beachfront property in Dubai. He and what’s-her-name will need it.

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May 29th, 2015, 12:26 am

 

80. Juergen said:

Uzair, good you are back!

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May 29th, 2015, 12:32 am

 

81. Juergen said:

I had a chance yesterday to meet Christoph Reuter, one of few western journalists who regularly visit Syria. He is a very humble man, and I wanted to share some of his views. He was able to get a rare insight into Daesh by obtaining strategic papers by one of the most famous architects of Daesh who got killed in Northern Syria in early 2014.

About Al Nusra

He thinks that its time for Qatar and KSA to portray a moderate sort of more liberal ( if you can even use this term with Islamists) group as an atipode to the horror of Daesh.
It’s no wonder Al Golani was treated like a head of state with Al Jazeera in their interview. In his mind, AL Nusra has one big disadvantage, it has inherited the AQ vision of Islamism. They have an ideology, but Daesh has the state.

Daesh

they act more rational and sophisticated than many people in the west are seeing them. They seemed to have achieved what most would say was impossible for Islamists: they learned from the mistakes of AQ and other groups. They plan not to gain a momentum, they intend to morph into a real statehood. They have a master plan how to infiltrate and overrun an area, or state. ( see his below article on the papers of al-Khlifawi ) They dont rush into things, they plan strategically. So far only one setback could have been seen, the events of Sindjar. In his view Daesh will play a major role only in Sunni held areas, areas controlled by Kurds or Shia are most likely not taken by them. In the long run, there is only a chance to extinguish them in Syria, in Iraq its almost impossible. They have a strong home base in the Anbar region, and they were getting big in Mossul by mafialike racketeering. But in order to take them out, Assad has to go to. The regime and Daesh are not working together, but along as the situation allows it they have tolerated each other, but at times were they felt superior, they fought each other. Daesh is probably the best thing happen to Assad, and Syrians need to take out those two evils before they could take care of the remnants of Syria.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/islamic-state-files-show-structure-of-islamist-terror-group-a-1029274.html

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May 29th, 2015, 12:56 am

 

82. Juergen said:

Here are some unusual pictures of Saudi Arabia

http://panorama.madamasr.com/2015/saudi-streets/

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May 29th, 2015, 1:38 am

 
 

84. ALAN said:

Moderation SC: please remove black hole from my path

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May 29th, 2015, 2:26 am

 
 

86. ALAN said:

The journalist Christoph Reuter is ( Der hase !!!).
Bei einem illegalen Grenzübertritt aus Syrien in die Türkei wurde er 2015 festgenommen und anschließend aus der Türkei ausgewiesen.

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May 29th, 2015, 8:00 am

 

87. ALAN said:

memo to: NO cmmment
Is Jeffrey White forgotten that his government formed a military alliance to eliminate ISIS, Al-Nusra and Al-Qaeda and has allowed itself without a return to the Security Council the breach of Syrian sovereignty under this called?
Hypocrisy? Does The United States “Show Its Own Lack of Will” When It Comes to ISIS?
Yet neither US President Barack Obama nor any of the 22 heavily weaponized nations / vassals theoretically part of his coalition of the willing sent at least a single Hellfire missile-equipped drone against the black-clad fake Caliphate goons.
A case can still be made that the “civilized” West would rather deal with a medieval, intolerant Wahhabi-drenched Caliphate than with a secular Arab “dictator that refuses to prostrate himself in the altar of Western neoliberalism.”
In parallel, the case has already been made that those who weaponize the beheaders and throat-slitters of Al-Nusra, aka al-Qaeda in Syria, or ISIS / ISIL / Daesh are essentially Saudis – the largest importers of weapons on the planet – who buy mostly from the US but also from France and the UK.
And now, an August 2012 declassified document from the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), circulated to everyone from CENTCOM to the CIA and the FBI, and obtained by public interest law firm Judicial Watch, finally confirms what passes for Washington’s strategy in the Levant and the Arabian peninsula.
And just as much as the original, CIA-funded proto al-Qaeda, established in the 1980s in Peshawar, ISIS/Daesh, a.k.a. al-Qaeda 2.0, fulfills the same geopolitical purpose.
Is Jeffrey White side by side with vassals such as Turkey and the GCC petromonarchies, “supported” al-Qaeda’s branch in Syria to destabilize Damascus – even though the Pentagon foresaw the ghastly endgame, as in the emergence of ISIS?
This mess is just an example of the perennial double game played by the Empire of Chaos in its “war on terra” – which boils down to the fight against ISIS across Syria and Iraq being nothing more than an elaborate farce.
It seems that there is no evidence the US government will ever cease from using “Islamic terrorism” as a strategic asset.

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May 29th, 2015, 8:29 am

 
 

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