Posted by Joshua on Tuesday, June 26th, 2007
A Western Syria analyst weighs in on the UNIFIL bombing, explaining why Syria does not want to kill Europeans. Syria cannot afford to further ruin relations with European leaders, on whom it is depending to find a way out of the present morass. Sarkozy has extended a hand, even if tentative, to Hizbullah and Syria. Tony Blair is taking the position as head of the Quartet. The new British PM is presently formulating a fresh Mid East policy for Britain. The Spaniards and Italians have been polite to Syria in the past. European leadership is going through an important change; Syria will want to create a good first impression and show its helpfulness on security.
Read the following thoughtful analysis by someone who knows Arabic well, has spend years following this topic, and has access to information that I do not:
I'm shocked at you. Why on God's green earth would Syria bomb Spaniards? Syria is working like hell to split the EU from the Cheney and his cult-like followers. That you would hint that Syria was behind this is not normal.
I know this was a concern, and both Hizballah and Syria have actually been working with the governments, appraising them of any information they had on possible attacks. It does not benefit either one to have these attacks, for it gives the impression that Hizballah can not maintain security (which given a sophisticated attack, no one can) and it continues to give Syria bad media when they are pushing for the opposite.
Have you been reading too much Young? Maybe you should read the Washington Post's expose on Cheney (and Hubris). He still has an effective organization that can overcome our entire government's decisions. He wants war with Iran and Syria. He was able to achieve his little war on Somalia with no one giving a damn about the horrendous human rights abuses committed by the Ethiopian troops in their effort to take control.
Farid Ghadry even said that Bush is using the tribunal to go after the Syrian regime.
And Jund Ash Sham, Ansar Allah, and others, who the Hariris supported to counter the evil Shi'ites, are all more closely allied to al-Qa'ida than any type of national organization. Of course, Syria gets blamed for them.
Hizballah had parliament surrounded. Had they wanted to seize government, they could have. That is not what they want. They just want an equal say in government, something the US will refuse to do at all costs. The US will just point to Hizballah as being irresponsible for not letting rich party boy Sa'd Hariri run the country. A punk with no political experience who has to pay to have anyone back him.
Anyway, just thought I'd write to counter the Michael Young loving 'analysts' that probably never listen to Arab speeches.
On that topic, I'm having a hell of a time finding an English version of Haniyah's speech. He went off on the kidnappers of Johnston. Most US media present it hinting that Haniyah was in cahoots with the kidnappers. But if you heard the whole speech, you can obviously tell otherwise. Nor do they mention the British-Hamas coordination on tactics used to try to get his safe release.
Anyway, just thought I'd pass my 2 cents..