“Syria’s Assad regime is doomed, but the battle will be long and bloody,” by Joshua Landis

Syria’s Assad regime is doomed, but the battle will be long and bloody
Joshua Landis
For Bitterlemons
January 26, 2012 Edition 4

The Syrian regime headed by Bashar Assad is doomed in the long run, but is likely to last longer than most believe. In December, the leader of Syria’s Muslim Brotherhood stated that President Assad would fall “in the next few months”, the US State Department proclaimed Assad to be a “dead man walking”, and Israel’s defense minister insisted that Assad would fall in a matter of weeks. This has turned out to be wishful thinking.

The Assads stand atop the last minoritarian regime in the Levant and thus seem destined to fall in this age of popular revolt. When they do, the post-colonial era will draw to a final close. Following World War II, minorities took control in every Levant state thanks to colonial divide-and-rule tactics and the fragmented national community that bedeviled the states of the region. Unique in this was Palestine, for the Jewish minority was able to transform itself into the majority at the expense of Palestine’s Muslims and Christians. Neither the Christians of Lebanon nor the Sunnis of Iraq were so lucky or ambitious. Nevertheless, both clung to power at the price of dragging their countries into lengthy civil wars. The Alawis of Syria seem determined to repeat this violent plunge to the bottom. It is hard to determine whether this is due to the rapaciousness of a corrupt elite, to the bleak prospects that the Alawi community faces in a post-Assad Syria, or to the weak faith that many in the region place in democracy and power-sharing formulas. Whatever the reason, Syria’s transition away from minority rule is likely to be lengthy and violent. Levantine history suggests this as a rule.

There are three main reasons why the Assad regime is likely to last well into 2013–if not longer–despite Syria’s rapidly deteriorating economic and security conditions.

The first is the strength of the regime compared to the opposition. The military has not turned against Syria’s president. It is a professional army, which so far has a monopoly on heavy weapons in Syria. Important government officials have not defected in significant numbers. This loyalty is due in no small part to the fact that the Assad family has prepared for this moment of popular, Sunni revolt for 40 years. It has packed sensitive posts with loyal Alawis and Baathists. Some analysts estimate that 80 percent of Syria’s officer corps is Alawi. The main strike-forces, such as the Republican Guard led by Bashar’s brother, is Alawi to the man. An ambassador in Syria’s Foreign Ministry recently claimed that 60 percent of Syria’s Foreign Service officers are Alawi and only 10 percent Sunni. The sectarian nature of the elite elements of the security forces ensures a high degree of loyalty and willingness to fight. The broader Alawi community is also likely to remain loyal to the regime, even as the economy deteriorates. Almost all Alawi families have a least one member in the security forces as well as additional members working in civilian ministries, such as education or agriculture. Most fear collective punishment for the sins of the Baathist era, whether this means trials, the loss of jobs, or even worse (one irresponsible Sunni sheikh threatened that the Alawis will be ground into mince meat when defeated).

The second reason the Assad regime is likely to survive into 2013 is the disorganization and factionalism of the opposition. Through much of 2011, the Syrian opposition hoped that by remaining leaderless, as had revolutionaries in Egypt and Tunisia, the regime could be brought down largely by peaceful means: either because Bashar Assad would surrender power, a coup would dislodge him, sanctions would cause elite defections and collapse, or growing demonstrations would achieve a Tahrir square moment. By the end of 2012, these scenarios seemed ever more unlikely, and the opposition has been forced to think seriously about developing a trusted leadership, unifying its ranks, and coming up with a realistic military option to defeat the Syrian army. These objectives still seem far off

The Syrian National Council, Syria’s leading opposition coalition, remains highly factionalized and has found it difficult to unite with other opposition parties. The mere fact that the SNC membership has felt compelled to limit its leaders to a three-month term testifies to the high level of internal dissent. Burhan Ghalioun, the capable and savvy secular leader, is distrusted by many Islamists in the SNC as well as younger activists who are leading the struggle on Syria’s streets. Only recently was he denounced by members of his own party for being a traitor and dictatorial when he prematurely announce a unification plan with the National Coordination Body for Democratic Change, a coalition of leftist parties led by Haytham Manaa.

Just as important as the opposition’s political weaknesses, however, are its military limitations. The Free Syrian Army being assembled in Turkey under the leadership of Colonel Riyadh al-Asaad is no match for the Syrian army. Although armed opponents of the regime are an important development, their size, structural limitations, lack of heavy weapons, and limited command and control mean they do not yet present a real danger or alternative to the Syrian military. In fact, many analysts insist that most fighting is being done by small units organized on the local level that do not take orders from Col. Asaad or other leaders, even if they call themselves members of the Free Syrian Army. What is more, many Syrians still do not accept the notion that the regime should be brought down by military means.

The third reason that the Assad regime is unlikely to be deposed soon is that foreign powers are not eager to intervene militarily in Syria. US President Barack Obama and European authorities would find it difficult not to support military strikes on the Syrian army if they were led by Turkey or the Arab League, but neither has shown an inclination to undertake such a risky adventure.

So long as the Syrian military leadership remains united, the opposition remains fragmented, and foreign powers remain on the sidelines, the Assad regime is likely to survive, but all three of these elements are changing, even if gradually, in the favor of the opposition. The predominant role of minorities in the governments of the region, which was universal at the end of the colonial period, is being brought to a violent conclusion.

-Published 25/1/2012 © bitterlemons-international.org
Joshua Landis is associate professor and director of the Center for Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma.

See the other three essays on Bitterlemons’ site

“The regime’s prospects are better than two months ago but remain dim,” Karim Emile Bitar

The Syrian revolution is now entering a new, more ominous phase. The regime has been considerably weakened and isolated. The Arab League’s mission has ended in a fiasco. The economy is in tatters. The opposition’s protests continue unabated. But the main pillars of President Bashar Assad’s support are still holding on. ….

A militarization of the revolution would empower the most radical elements, as it did in Libya, and render future democratization much more difficult. A foreign intervention would open Pandora’s box.

Those who would like Assad to fall are now confronted with the old Machiavelli vs. Kant philosophical dilemma: does the end justify the means or do the means determine the end? A comprehensive study, published by Columbia University Press and analyzing dozens of past cases, suggests that the latter is true. It indicates that if a dictator is overthrown through peaceful struggle, there is a 51 percent chance of a successful democratic transition after five years. In case of an armed struggle, the chances are only three percent.

The Syrian opposition is understandably impatient to bring Assad down and breathe freely. It should nonetheless meditate on these figures.

“Yes and no,” by Elias Samo

Can the Syrian regime survive? That is a question only a crystal ball can definitively answer. My analysis of the two primary components of the Syrian regime–a pyramidal political leadership under President Bashar Assad and a one-party political structure under the Baath party–leads me to believe the answer is “yes and no”. Yes, Assad will survive, and no, the political structure of one-party Baath rule will not….

“A sinking ship,” by Michel Nehme

Domestically, the mutiny in the Syrian army is slowly accelerating. It is beginning to pose a tangible threat to ! the military establishment, despite tight control by Baathist officers. The economy is gradually deteriorating–an indication of a long process that ultimately will topple the regime. The issue now is not whether the regime has been able to withstand or escape the storm, but rather the sense that the regime is slowly and daily getting weaker. Yet when it will finally collapse is not something that can be predicted, due to a variety of regional and international considerations….

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201. jad said:

Details about the kidnapped Iranian engineers by the terrorist militia and the role of the French in this operation:

“الحقيقة” تضع يدها على قرائن تشير إلى تورط المخابرات الفرنسية في عملية اختطاف الإيرانيين

زوجة الصحفي الفرنسي المغدور في حمص ، كارولين بوارون ، التقت عبد الرزاق طلاس والمخطوفين بتكليف من المخابرات الفرنسية ، وبطلب من إيران

باريس ، دمشق ، دبي الحقيقة ( خاص من : مازن ابراهيم + مكتب التحرير) : بثت قناة”الجزيرة مباشر” يوم أول من أمس ، قبل أن تتبعها “الجزيرة” الرئيسية و”العربية”، شريطا للمهندسين والتقنيين الإيرانيين الخمسة المختطفين في سوريا من قبل “كتيبة الفاروق” في حمص ، التابعة لما يسمى “الجيش السوري الحر”. وزعمت القناة أنهم “ضباط من الحرس الثوري الإيراني”. وقالت المحطة إنها حصلت على الشريط من “الجيش” المذكور. ويكشف الشريط واحدة من أكبر عمليات النصب والاحتيال المغرقة في غبائها وتفاهتها ، لدرجة أن “الجيش السوري “نفسه الذي يخطفهم ، والمعروف بغبائه وفبركاته الساذجة ، عفّت نفسه عن نشر الشريط على موقعه ، على الأقل حتى ساعة نشر هذا التقرير!؟ وكما يبدو من المقدمة الكتابية وصور ملالي إيران التي وضعت للشريط ( حذفتها”الحقيقة” لتخفيف وزن الشريط)، والتي ادعت أنهم “ضباط من الحرس الثوري الإيراني جاءوا لمساعدة نظام الأسد على قتل الشعب السوري”، فقد طالب الخاطفون القيادة الإيرانية بالاعتراف بأن هؤلاء من “الحرس الثوري” دون قيد أو شرط لكي يطلق سراحهم!

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“ولكن ما هي قصة اختطاف هؤلاء المهندسين والتقنيين، وما هو دور المخابرات الفرنسية في كل ما جرى ويجري لهم!؟

في 28 تشرين الثاني / نوفمبر الماضي ، كشفت صحيفة ” لوفيغارو” الفرنسية أن المخابرات الفرنسية تقدم مساعدات لمسلحي ما يسمى “الجيش الحر” في شمال لبنان وفي حمص ، بما في ذلك معلومات عن تحركات الجيش السوري عبر الأقمار الصناعية ، وأجهزة تصويب ليلية ( مناظير تعمل بالأشعة تحت الحمراء) ، و تساعدهم من خلال المهربين على إدخال السلاح إلى الداخل السوري. وقد جاءت تقارير لاحقة لعدد من الصحف والمجلات ومراكز الأبحاث الغربية لتؤكد ذلك . ولعل أبرزها ما نشره مركز “ستراتفور” الاستخباري الأميركي وما قاله مؤخرا ضابط وكالة المخابرات المركزية الأميركية السابق فيليب جيرالدي لمجلة ” أميركان كونسيرفاتيف” عن تورط قوات خاصة أميركية وفرنسية وبريطانية في قيادة عمليات “الجيش الحر” داخل الأراضي السورية. وغني عن البيان أن ” كتيبة الفاروق” ، التي خطفت هؤلاء الإيرانيين ، وتحتفظ بهم الآن ، هي من يقوم بجميع عمليات “الجيش الحر” الإجرامية في حمص ومحيطها. وهي المعنية بتلقي المساعدات الاستخبارية الفرنسية التي تحدثت عنها “لوفيغارو”.

في 11 كانون الثاني / يناير الجاري ، أقدم مسلحو ” كتيبة الفاروق” على اغتيال الصحفي الفرنسي جيل جاكييه بقذيفة “مورتر”(هاون) ، كما أكدت صحيفة ” لوفيغارو” نفسها ، وكما أكد لاحقا تقرير المراقبين العرب الذي قدم لجامعة الدول العربية قبل أربعة أيام. لكن ما جرى له ولزملائه الصحفيين الفرنسيين الآخرين بعد عملية الاغتيال يستحق التأمل ، فهو أشبه بفيلم هوليودي. فبعد أن نقلت السلطات الصحية في حمص جثمان الصحفي المغدور إلى الطبابة الشرعية في المشفى، توجه السفير الفرنسي في دمشق ، إيريك شوفالييه، بسرعة البرق إلى المشفى في حمص وقام بـ”سرقة” جثة الصحفي المغدور ونقلها إلى مطار دمشق الدولي وإرسالها إلى فرنسا فورا حتى قبل أن يتمكن طاقم الطبابة الشرعية السورية من تفحصها وإعداد تقرير بشأنها . وهو عمل قرصني بامتياز، بالنظر لأن السلطات السورية ، وحسب القانون الدولي والمحلي ، هي المعنية وصاحبة الحق بفحص الجثة من قبل الطبابة الشرعية وإعداد تقرير مفصل عن الواقعة قبل تسليمها إلى الدولة المعنية ، إذا كان الضحية أجنبيا. هذا فضلا عن كونه عملا مثيرا للشبهة يوحي بأن السفير أراد أن يخفي شيئا ما!؟ ولم يكتف السفير بذلك، بل أقدم على سحب جميع الصحفيين الفرنسيين الموجودين في حمص ووضعهم في السيارات المصفحة لموكبه ونقلهم إلى دمشق بصحبة جثة زميلهم. وكان لافتا أنه رفض نقل مراسل “وكالة الصحافة الفرنسية” جوزيف عيد مع زملائه الآخرين ، رغم أنه الصحفي “الحقيقي” الوحيد الذي كان هناك ، والذي لا يمكن الشك بهويته المهنية ، إذا ما أخذنا بعين الاعتبار أن الصحفيين الفرنسيين الآخرين الذين سحبهم السفير ” مشكوك في أمرهم وأمر وجودهم في حمص”!؟

هذا الشك ليس وليد تصورات أو خيالات أو عقلية ” مؤامرة”. والدليل على ذلك الواقعتان التاليتان:

1 ـ الواقعة الأولى ، وطبقا لما أفادنا بذلك صحفي في “القناة الثانية” الفرنسية (القناة التي يعمل فيها جيل جاكييه ، وهي بالمناسبة معروفة بأنها قلعة إعلامية للوبي الإسرائيلي في فرنسا) ، حصلت الشهر الماضي ، حين تقدم جاكييه بطلب إلى السفارة السورية في باريس للحصول على ” فيزا” لتغطية الأحداث في سوريا. وكان لافتا أن طلبه أرفق بمطلب يعبر عن عنجهيته وصلفه الكولونيالي ، حيث اشترط أن تسمح له السلطة السورية بمقابلة ضباط “الفرقة الرابعة” و ” مرافقة الفرقة في عملياتها القمعية في المحافظات”! وهو طلب أجمع زملاؤه الذين يعرفونه ، والذين تحدثنا إليهم ، على أنه طلب “غريب ومثير للشبهة ، ولا يمكن أن تقبل به أي دولة في العالم ، بما في ذلك دولته نفسها ، فرنسا”.ويؤكد المصدر أن المغدور ” كان في الواقع عميلا لجهاز المخابرات الخارجية الفرنسية أكثر من كونه صحفيا ، وكان مكلفا من قبل الجهاز المذكور الاتصال بمسؤولين محددين من ” كتيبة الفاروق”في إطار عمل استخباري لا علاقة له بمهنته).

2 ـ الواقعة الثانية تتصل بزوجة المغدور جاكيه . فقد كشف مصدر في مجلة ” باري ماتش” لـ”الحقيقة” أن زوجته، كارولين بوارون Caroline Poiron (الصورة جانبا) ، وهي المصورة المعتمدة للمجلة المذكورة ، كانت “أرسلتها المخابرات الخارجية الفرنسية مطلع الشهر الجاري سرا ، بطريقة التسلل من شمال لبنان، إلى سورية ، بهدف مقابلة الملازم الأول عبد الرزاق طلاس والحصول على صورة تثبت أن الإيرانيين المختطفين لديه لمّا يزالوا على قيد الحياة”!؟

هذا المصدر ، الذي أكد لنا هذه المعلومات ، كان اكدها أيضا في رسالة خاصة بالبريد الإلكتروني أرسلها في 17 من الشهر الجاري لصديق له يعمل في أحد مراكز الأبحاث في لندن ( انظر صورة طبق الأصل عن الرسالة منشورة جانبا). وبحسب هذه الرسالة ، فإن اتصالات سرية جرت بين إيران وفرنسا للمساعدة في إطلاق الرهائن الإيرانيين، لأن إيران تدرك جيدا أن الجهة الخاطفة (“كتيبة الفاروق”) تعمل بإنرة المخابرات الفرنسية . وقد قبلت فرنسا القيام بهذه الوساطة نظرا لأنها الجهة الوحيدة التي لها علاقات مع “كتيبة الفاروق” ، ولأنها كانت تخشى إقدام إيران على الانتقام من الفرنسيين عبر استهداف جنودها في جنوب لبنان! وتشير الرسالة إلى أن المصورة كارولين ” سبق لها أن قامت بمهمات مماثلة لصالح المخابرات الخارجية الفرنسية في ليبيا أيضا خلال الحرب التي شنها الحلف الأطلسي على نظام القذافي الصيف الماضي”. وكان لافتا أن الصورة الوحيدة التي أثبتت أن الإيرانيين الخمسة المختطفين لا يزالون على قيد الحياة هي الصورة التي نشرتها “باري ماتش ” ، والتي التقطتها كارولين بنفسها في أحد الأماكن السرية التي يقيم فيها عبد الرزاق طلاس في حمص!؟

ليس هذا كل شيء. فبحسب معلومات حصرية حصلت عليها “الحقيقة” من باريس ، استمرت المفاوضات غير المباشرة بين سوريا وإيران من جهة ، و فرنسا من جهة ثانية ، خلال الأيام القليلة الماضية. إلا أن تعثر المفاوضات ، ورغبة الفرنسيين في استخدام الرهائن الخمسة “للابتزاز السياسي” ، دفعت جهة في المخابرات الخارجية الفرنسية ليس فقط إلى تحريض ” كتيبة الفاروق “التي تعمل بإمرتهم على فبركة الشريط المنشور يوم أمس والزعم أنه لمقاتلين من “الحرس الثوري”، بل إلى تحريض “الجيش الحر” على المزيد من عمليات الاختطاف للرهائن الإيرانيين ” لأنها الطريقة الوحيدة للضغط على طهران في الملف السوري ، والطريقة التي يمكن أن تؤلب الشارع الإيراني والمعارضة الإيرانية ضد حكومتهم على خلفية التزامها العنيد في دعم نظام الأسد ” ، كما يقول صحفي فرنسي يعمل في صحيفة ” ليبيراسيون”. وهذا ما يقودنا مباشرة إلى القرينة الأكثر دلالة ، وذات المغزى العميق.

هذه القرينة ، والتي تتقاطع تماما مع مطلب المخابرات الفرنسية من “الجيش الحر” ، جاءت في سياق ما كان كشفه لنا ضابط يعمل قريبا من العميل رياض الأسعد قبل حوالي أسبوعين . ففي تقرير نشرته “الحقيقة” بتاريخ 13 من الشهر الجاري ، كشف لنا الضابط أن رياض الأسعد اتفق مع برهان غليون ، خلال اجتماعهما في استانبول في 12 الشهر الجاري ، على اختطاف إيرانيين من الحجاج إلى العتبات الشيعية المقدسة في سوريا ، ورعايا إيرانيين آخرين ، فضلا عن لبنانيين شيعة من التجار والطلاب ، ومن رعايا الجالية الروسية، بهدف مبادلتهم بضباط وعسكريين وسجناء سياسيين في المعتقلات السورية ، والضغط على الحكومتين الإيرانية والروسية للتخفيف من تصلبهما في دعم النظام السوري . هذا بالإضافة إلى تصوير هؤلاء في أشرطة تظهرهم وهم يدلون بـ”اعترافات” أنهم من ” الحرس الثوري “الإيراني و ” عناصر حزب الله الذين يمارسون قمع المظاهرات في سوريا”!؟

مقابلتنا مع الضابط نشرت في 13 من الشهر الجاري ، أي قبل أكثر من أسبوعين على بث الشريط واختطاف الـ 11 حاجا إيرانيا يوم أمس! فهل ثمة قرينة أقوى من ذلك على السلوك الإجرامي والبلطجي الذي بات يطبع ليس مسلحي رياض الأسعد فقط ، بل أستاذ السوربون الجليل أيضا ، الذي باتت هوايته المفضلة هي البول في ملابسه … نكاية بالطهارة!؟”

http://www.syriatruth.org/news/tabid/93/Article/6555/Default.aspx

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January 28th, 2012, 1:58 am

 

202. zoo said:

Syrian rebels blackmail Iran supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei over Iranian hostages who “admitted” having killed ‘women and children’ in a video “confession”

Syrian rebels say they hold seven Iranians hostage
http://news.yahoo.com/syrian-rebels-hold-seven-iranians-hostage-155753092.html

The hostage video showed one man, named as Haidar Ali, admitting to coordinating with Syria’s Air Force Security unit.

“I and my team members, with the support of Syrian security-intelligence forces, were involved in suppressing and shooting ordinary Syrians … and we killed a lot of people, including women and children, in the city of Homs,” he said.

It was not possible to determine if the confession was forced.

“We urge Iran’s supreme military leader (Ayatollah Ali) Khamenei to order the Iranian military personnel who suppress the Syrians to be repatriated from Syria, so we can also return home,” Ali said.

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January 28th, 2012, 1:58 am

 

203. jad said:

Alarabi and Qatar are trying to block Aldabi from traveling to NY to avoid sharing his report with the UNSC session:

“البناء”: قطر والعربي يسعيان لعرقلة سفر الدابي الى نيويورك خشية الاستماع اليه في مجلس الامن

نقلت صحيفة “البناء” عن مصادر سياسية متابعة للموقف الروسي أنه “يمكن اعتبار المعركة الدائرة الآن هي ليست فقط على مستوى سورية فحسب، وانما على مستوى تشكّل النظام العالمي الجديد، ومن هنا فانها غير مستعدة ـ روسيا ـ لاي مغامرة بخسارة مع سورية”.

وفي هذا الإطار أكّدت المصادر ان “روسيا سترفض طرح اي مشروع على التصويت يتعلق بالوضع السوري قبل مشروعها المقدم منذ ما يقارب الشهرين، وهو مكتوب بالحبر الأزرق، ما يعني وفق بروتوكول مجلس الأمن امكانية طرحه للتصويت في أي لحظة”.

ولفتت الصحيفة الى أن “محاولات تجري بين قطر والأمين العام للجامعة العربية نبيل العربي وبان كي مون الأمين العام للأمم المتحدة لاستبعاد سفر رئيس بعثة المراقبين الفريق أول محمد الدابي الى نيويورك خشية الاستماع الى مداخلته (في مجلس الامن) التي باتت معروفة المضامين”.

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January 28th, 2012, 2:13 am

 
 

205. jad said:

Jurgen the ‘good’ report of Syria going down the hill is already posted in 201, and since we are repeating here you go the other report of CNN:

Cities, residents divided in Syria

‘Abducted Iranians moved to N Lebanon’

An informed source in Lebanon says the five Iranian engineers who were kidnapped in Syria last December have been relocated to northern Lebanon, Press TV reports.
A tribal figure in northern Lebanon, speaking on condition of anonymity, made the revelation to a Press TV correspondent on Friday.
On December 21, 2011, five Iranian electrical engineers were kidnapped by armed gunmen while travelling to a power plant in the Syrian city of Homs.
Later, two other Iranians, who were trying to obtain information about the missing men, were also kidnapped, and their whereabouts are still unknown.
Syrian armed gangs and terrorists are known to have taken sanctuary in northern Lebanon.

http://www.presstv.ir/detail/223465.html

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January 28th, 2012, 2:24 am

 

206. Revlon said:

Opposition in exile is ready to finance the FSA.
B. Qudmani: The revolution has assumed irreversible, military dimensions.
المعارضة السورية في الخارج مستعدة لتمويل المنشقين عن الجيش
بسمة قضماني: الانتفاضة أخذت أبعادا عسكرية لا رجعة فيهاAl Sharq Al Awsat News paper
28/01/2012
http://www.aawsat.com//details.asp?section=4&article=660988&issueno=12114

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January 28th, 2012, 2:27 am

 

207. Revlon said:

204. jad:
((Alarabi and Qatar are trying to block Aldabi from traveling to NY to avoid sharing his report with the UNSC session).

Al Dabi operates under the Authority fo the AL.
He reports to Al-Arabi and not to any other source.
Travelling to NY is not part of his AL mandate as far as I know!
His report has all the details he wanted to convey.

Anyways!
Who ivited AL-Dabi to NY?
Any link to other than “Syrian truth or Media”

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January 28th, 2012, 2:33 am

 

208. Revlon said:

Assad Shabbeeha flasly claiming to be FSA members kidnap kids of wealth families in Damascus and demand hefty ransoms for their release.

Adel Nasif
28/01/2012
http://www.facebook.com/LCCSy
3 hours ago
‎..عاجل(نرجو النشر): الأجهزة الأمنية الاسدية والجيش الأسدي الخائن يقومان في دمشق وبعض المدن السورية بأعمال مافيا و سرقة لأملاك المواطنين والصاق التهمة بالجيش الحر..حيث يقومون بخطف أبناء ثم الاتصال مع أهاليهم وطلب مبالغ فدية كبيرة على أساس أ…نهم الجيش الحر..و الشيء السخيف بالموضوع أنهم يتصلون بالاهالي من ارقام موبايلات محلية مع العلم أن الجيش الحر ليس غبيا” و دنيئا” ليقوم بهكذا أعمال..هذه المعلومة مؤكدة و هناك أشخاص أعرفهم وقعوا ضحية لتلك الاعمال القذرة(تاجر في دمشق طلبوا منه 25 مليون ليرة سورية مقابل ابنه المخطوف)..و هذا يدل على افلاس النظام الاسدي مما يضطرهم لسرقة اموال الشعب..و قام أحد الضحايا بمراجعة فرع فلسطين بدمشق ليبلغهم عن رقم الموبايل السوري الذي اتصل به على أنه الجيش الحر فقالوا له سنبحث في الموضوع ولم يصله رد منذ شهر..مع العلم انهم يستطيعون الوصول لصاحب الرقم خلال ساعات فقط !!!,,,..

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January 28th, 2012, 2:44 am

 

209. Revlon said:

588 demonstrations took place across the Syria, in 470 different areas.
28/01/2012
Local Coordination Committees in Syria

لجان التنسيق المحلية في سوريا

On Friday, Jan. 27, The distributions of participants were recorded as follows:
133 different areas in Idlib with 139 demonstrations, 57 different areas in Homs with 77 demonstrations, 57 different areas in Daraa with 68 demonstrations, 54 different areas in Hama with 60 demonstrations, 51 different areas in Aleppo with 65 demonstrations, 42 different area in Damascus Suburbs with 57 demonstrations, 20 different areas in Hasakeh with 31 demonstrations, 18 in Deir Ezzor with 32 demonstrations, 16 different areas in Lattakia with 22 demonstrations, 5 different areas in Raqqa with 7 demonstrations , 1 area of demonstrations in Tartus with 6 different demonstrations, 1 demonstration in Swayda, and 1 demonstration in Qunaitara.

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January 28th, 2012, 2:48 am

 

210. Revlon said:

An oil pipeline was set aflame at dawn today by the indiscriminate shelling of Assad forces of the city of Qriyeh
28/01/2012
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6PrukROd_l4&feature=player_embedded
دير برس-القورية : انفجار انبوب النفط نتيجة القصف 28-1

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January 28th, 2012, 2:52 am

 

211. Revlon said:

18 months old Mohamed Hilal died today of a mortar shell that destroyed his house.
He shall be buried, like other kids before, in compliance with Jr’s directive; Wadulfitnah (The burial of Sedition).

Dawn of 28/01/2012
6 hours ago
Qouriah, Deri Azzor
http://www.facebook.com/LCCSy
لجان التنسيق المحلية في سوريا
دير الزور: القورية: استشهاد الطفل محمد الهلال وعمره سنة ونصف إثر إصابة منزله بقذيفة، أثناء القصف العشوائي للمدينة من قبل جيش النظام فجر هذا اليوم.

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January 28th, 2012, 3:09 am

 

212. Juergen said:

JAD

I saw it thank you, i should refresh my browser more often before posting…

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January 28th, 2012, 3:11 am

 

213. Badr said:

This is an excellent article in my opinion.

Collectively failing Syrian society

Peter Harling
Foreign Policy
24 Jan 2012

All sides have been incapable of agreeing on what would be a reasonable U.N. Security Council resolution: making clear it does not endorse foreign military intervention, both to reassure Russia and because within the current parameters of the conflict it is not in the cards anyway; calling all parties to cease fire; blaming the regime for bringing the country to the brink; holding it fully accountable for seeking a solution; demanding it implements the Arab League’s transition plan; and insisting it respects peaceful protests under a reinforced observers mission, with the additional deployment of Arab monitors embedded within the security apparatus where required in the face of armed groups. The regime may choose to ignore what some would describe as a toothless resolution. In fact, what has enabled it to shun international pressure until now is the sense that key players like Russia and others condoned its approach, a decisive factor of self-confidence within its own ranks. A Security Council resolution is the one available lever that could be brought to bear on a Syrian leadership that feels sheltered by the prevailing divisions on the international scene, and would rather take the country down the road to civil war than negotiate in order to obtain what still can be achieved (not least guarantees for the Alawite community, a phased hand-over of power, and the assurance of institutional continuity) at the cost of giving up on the hope that hunkering down and making reforms that only satisfy its supporters somehow will enable it to stay in power.

Click here to read the rest.

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January 28th, 2012, 3:17 am

 

214. jad said:

Russia slams ‘unacceptable’ draft resolution on Syria
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ImQnXmScq4&feature=colike

Russia has opposed the new Arab-European draft resolution on Syria presented by Morocco in the UN Security Council on Friday. Russia’s ambassador to the UN says it will continue to search for ways to end the ongoing bloodshed there.

As RT’s Marina Portnaya reports from New York, Russia’s ambassador to the UN, Vitaly Churkin, expressed “deep” disappointment with the draft, indicating that he does not believe that the international community should impose an outside solution on the Syrian conflict. He also rejected the idea of an arms embargo or the use of force being imposed on Syria.

تشوركين: نختلف مع الجامعة العربية لمحاولتها فرض حل خارجي للصراع بسوريا

أعرب مندوب روسيا في الأمم المتحدة فيتالي تشوركين خلال جلسة مجلس الامن أمس، عن خيبة أمل كبير تجاه مشروع القرار المقدم من الدول الغربية الى مجلس الأمن حول سوريا.
وأبلغ تشوركين مجلس الأمن بأنه يختلف مع الجامعة العربية لمحاولتها فرض حل خارجي على الصراع في سوريا، كما رفض فكرة فرض حظر للسلاح وإستخدام القوة.

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January 28th, 2012, 3:30 am

 

215. jad said:

Jurgen,
ZDF is still reporting about Syria almost every night, I have to admit that so far the majority of the German TV channels and news sites proved to be the most balanced and professional coverage of the struggle, they are doing a very good job.

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January 28th, 2012, 3:35 am

 

216. jad said:

شخابيط ثورية 8: أنا خائن .. أنت خائن!

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January 28th, 2012, 3:48 am

 

217. Juergen said:

Jad
thanks for sharing, unfortunatly ZDF is not my favorite channel.But i will look in their mediasite for the reports. Given that we usually dont send our best journalists to this part of the world, you are right about professionalism.

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January 28th, 2012, 4:48 am

 

218. Uzair8 said:

An excellent interview with BBC’S Jeremy Bowen on BBC RADIO 5 Live last night.

Listen from 0.06.00 till 0.12.12

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b019q7q6 or go straight to:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/console/b019q7q6

Available for about another week.

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January 28th, 2012, 6:25 am

 

219. Revlon said:

I predict that the chain reaction for the fall of the regime shall start in Damascus.

Mounting pressure on Central Damascus or a special clandestine operation to arrest Jr in his hideout, whether it fails or succeeds could provide the trigger.
Once in motion, the collapse could be precipitous; hours to days.

The SNC and FSA must have a thorough, contingency plan that once activated it would effect seamless replacement of the collapsed political and security systems.

Such plans need to include written speeches and directives to be presented by SNC and FSA president and Commander to pronounce Syrian People Free, and provide a road map and work plan for action in the 1st week, 1st months and 1st year, until parliamentary elections.
Therafter SNC president need to schedule a weekly speech to adress the nation, until the end of the transitional period.

Teams of medical and social specialists need to be ready to be deployed to needy areas for immediate relief. Prior Co-ordination with international human rights and aid groups must be secured.

Teams of technocrats need to be ready for deployment to all joints of government all over Syria, in order to preside over, and oversee the enactment of the new transitional government policies.

lessons learned from the Tunisian and Libyan experiences ought to be assimilated.

Victory is near!

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January 28th, 2012, 6:42 am

 

220. Amir in Tel Aviv said:

The junta is killing them while the FSA is feeding them (Homs)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tggKhQ68BE8
.

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January 28th, 2012, 6:57 am

 

221. Amir in Tel Aviv said:

Creative Syria (with umbrellas)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHmm9tJ3BIs
.

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January 28th, 2012, 7:01 am

 

222. Amir in Tel Aviv said:

Revlon,

I agree with you. Looks like the rope is tightening around their necks faster now. The revolution flags are now flying high in squares, 15 min drive from the palace. wow. The repression apparatus of the junta (shabbiha, muhabarat, Alawi divisions) are disintegrating in a faster phase than previously thought.

I believe it’s a matter of weeks now, not months.
.

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January 28th, 2012, 7:33 am

 

223. Amir in Tel Aviv said:

And last important point.

Where are all the detainees? There are tens of thousands of Syrians, who were abducted (kidnapped), and no one knows their whereabouts.

Now they talk about 7000 dead. When this junta is gone and it’s crimes fully exposed, I believe that the number will be much higher than that.
.

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January 28th, 2012, 7:43 am

 

224. Juergen said:

I will post an article which was published in DIE ZEIT this week, i find it quite extrodinary. I will just translate most parts to keep the posting smaller.

Leap into the new era

The Arab League was once the club of dictators. Now she calls the regime change in Syria.

by Michael Thumann

Everybody hates the Arab League. The ruler in Damascus, Bashar al-Assad accused them of “blatant interference” in Syria. The Syrian opposition accuses her to work for the Assad regime. Iran complains of the league’s paw of the West. Saudi Arabia finds them for far too soft on Assad.

But when nobody likes the Arab League at the moment, that’s a sign that the league is doing something quite right: it interferes. Even with its latest resolution by the beginning of the week, which creates a peaceful transition for the post-Assad. The Syrian regime is quite disgusted by it. Assad needs to fight the opposition quietly and is therefore not keen for foreign visits. His opponents want the intervention of the United Nations (UN). The Observer Mission to Syria of the Arab League, is now before the failure.

In Syria, the Arab League makes a new experience: it will be criticized for their activities and not for them watching the events happen. The Arab riots have shaken up the often paralysed Arab Leaque. Exactly one year after the Egyptian Revolution, the League makes headlines with human rights issues. She dares make a move, risking to fail on this . The league changed, of necessity, out of necessity, under pressure from the outside.

“We are interested in human rights issues,” says Ali Erfan an top advisor to the general secretary. “That was not so an issue before” The Arab League is actively interfering in the internal affairs of its members, “earlier” absolutely unthinkable. Human rights crimes are now seen as a security threat. And so it is handled. “Had the Arab League in the arab spring, stood silently on the edge,” says Erfan, “she would have been dead.” The moment in which the Arabs wrote world history, the Arab League threatened to be irrelevant. They had to change, out of sheer necessity to survive.

Previously it was more convenient. The Arab League was founded in 1945, just months before the UN. Back in Cairo, the strong men put on the agenda, which suited them barely so. They were against something: against the colonial powers Britain and France, anyway against the all-powerful America, against Israel. Sometimes against their own members.

Today, you can not just be against something. The Arab League members have to decide whether they support the uprising in the Arab world. Ali Erfan sees the states of the league under a huge pressure. It’s not about gratuitous outrage against America and Israel. It’s all about herself, about freedom and future of all Arabs. And suddenly, most governments are forced to it: for the Revolution (the others) and for its own democratization (always gently) so long as they dont endanger themselves.

So really it all fits together: new times, new countries and new people. Why did the Syrian mission went wrong? Ali Erfan, the advisor of Al-Arabi said it this way: “The Arab League is like a car, built in 1945, runs on a highway of the 21st Century ”

The Syrian mission shows the example. The Arab League is set big goals, but they could not fulfill them.

When in New York in the UN building, a dozen departments with hundreds of employees operate such missions, the league has only a small group to the Secretary. While there is an situation room equipped with much high tech, but the employees are not adequately trained to control missions from there.

Its may be too fast for an apperatus which was used for decades to prevend on taking over tasks or which was paralyzed from the controversy among dictators. Today, the League of Arab States,has to bridge between young revolutionary and more or less stable monarchies. About the missions failure in Syria, there is this conflict: The league wants to extend the mission, but now the Saudi monitors as well as the rest from all Gulf countriesleft the misson out of disgust. And how functional the Human Rights Department will be is yet to be seen. “We will expand, says a league employees. But clicking on the website of the League for the Human Rights Committee, you will get the message: “” No Content.

But the Arab League can grow with the challenges. Although its charter does not allow it, it has imposed sanctions against Syria. Now Prime Minister Al-Thani on behalf of the League Assad has asked for the resignation of Assad. Assad should clear the way for a national unity government, elections will be prepared. The League is calling for a regime change. Even this a small revolution. But no military intervention, says Al-Thani. Like: The Arab League has no reaction force. The states may not yet agree on the call for a UN force or even agree on an Arab intervention. But wait. In these times, everything seems to be possible at some point.

http://www.zeit.de/2012/05/Arabische-Liga/seite-1

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January 28th, 2012, 7:53 am

 

225. majedkhaldoun said:

weather conditions are difficult today in Syria.

Should the SNC form goverment in exile?

Revlon
Yes FSA has to infiltrate Damascus

AL froze the observers mission due to increase in death and the worsening of the regime brutal suppression.

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January 28th, 2012, 8:18 am

 

226. majedkhaldoun said:

A general (3ameed)just defected with 300 soldier and they join the FSA

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January 28th, 2012, 8:45 am

 

227. Revlon said:

Syrian Dream . سوريا الحلم
28/01/2012
https://www.facebook.com/TheSyrianDream

#syria
سوريا الحلم . اللاذقية المحتلة . استشهاد أربعة أطفال حرقا بعد أن أطلقت قوات النظام الهمجية طلقات حارقة على منزلهم الكائن في شارع القوتلي مقابل جامع صوفان .
10 year old Hamza , 9 year old Izzidin, and 3 year old Issa, children of detainee Dr Ma3d Taye3 were burned to death after their house was set a blaze by scorch bombs.
والشهداء هم أبناء الطبيب المعتقل : معد مواهب طايع ، وهم : حمزة طايع 10 سنوات و عزالدين طايع 9 سنوات وعيسى طايع 3 سنوات .

تقبل التعازي في مدينة جــدة في منزل عم الشهداء المهندس مازن مواهب طايع يوم غد الأحد 29/1/2012 في منزله الكائن بشارع الأمير سلطان ، جنوب دوار التاريخ ، قبل مكتبة العبيكان ،بعد صلاة المغرب
نأمل نشر الموضوع على أكبر نطاق ، نريد أن نستغل المناسبة لتعريف الناس بالمستوى إجرامي الذي وصل إليه النظام

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January 28th, 2012, 9:53 am

 

228. annie said:

93. Revlon said:

“I am afraid I am becomming numb to the sight of human suffering….”

We can cope with only so much pain and numbness sets in, on the surface, but the pain digs deep in our hearts.

you say :”Victory is near!” May the powers that be hear you.

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January 28th, 2012, 9:59 am

 

229. Jerusalem said:

A comment from a Syrian author and that is exactly why the majority is silent.

أود أيضا أن أثير انتباهك لشيء مهم يا حضرة الشيخ وهو أن الطوائف التي تحرض على قتلها وسحنها في الشوارع لولاك ولولا خطابك الطائفي الظلامي الرجعي الجاهلي السادي كانت انضمت للحراك الشعبي منذ عدة شهور ولكن السلفية والوهابية والإسلام الصهيوني الذي ذكرته هو سبب عدم قناعتها بفورتكم وحقدكم وغلكم. أنا ممن رأى الجثث التي كان رفاق دربك والسائرين خلف خطاك وخطا بغال النفط قد رموها في مناطق متفرقة مقطعة بالساطور ومنخورة بالمثاقب ومقطعة بالصواريخ التي يستعملها الحدادين عندها كفرت بكل الأديان وعلى رأسها الإسلام يا راعاك الله.

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January 28th, 2012, 10:06 am

 

230. Ghat Al Bird said:

Maybe Syria should follow the Israeli [democratic] ways of doing things as examplified below……

Ethnic Enclaves

Expectedly, the State of Israel is nothing but a large collection of ethnic enclaves. “Arim Meoravot” is Hebrew for “Mixed Cities,” cities where Palestinians and Jews live together; Haifa, Jerusalem, Lod, and Ramle are examples of these. Yet, this term is just wishful thinking.

On the neighborhood level, people live in ethnic enclaves. One will find Bedouin, Druze, Circassian, Palestinian, Ashkenazi, Mizrahi, Iraqi, Iranian, Moroccan, and a thousand more ethnic neighborhoods. People would seldom mix. The State of Israel encourages that; divide and conquer is its favored tactic.

In January 2012, interesting data was published. The Jewish real estate market is suffering a severe recession, while the Palestinian market is flourishing. The term “severe recession” doesn’t correctly reflect the size of the calamity for the Zionist Dream. Some of the data hints the game is over for Mr. Theodore Hertzl.

The most obvious parameter foe analyzing the real estate market is the price of the goods. Accordingly, prices in the Jewish neighborhoods are decreasing since summer 2011, following a short-lived increase in its prices before that.

The Palestinian market is boiling, with prices increasing sharply in acquisitions and rents; since 2010, prices almost doubled there.

Israeli realtors are also divided along ethnic lines; thus their data is not likely to get mixed up. Yet, a more dramatic event is taking place under the nose of Benjamin Netanyahu, and this time there is nothing he can do to stop reality from eradicating evil discrimination.

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January 28th, 2012, 10:09 am

 

231. Equus said:

To: 227. Revlon

It’s indeed sad; but this is a civil war, what else did you expect from civil war? Syria is in civil war and not going into one. It’s living it. There will be more on each end, sadly.

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January 28th, 2012, 10:10 am

 

232. irritated said:

Revlon #219

“I predict that the chain reaction for the fall of the regime shall start in Damascus.”
When? in 2013?

“The SNC and FSA must have a thorough, contingency plan that once activated it would effect seamless replacement of the collapsed political and security systems.”

You are giving too much credit to this incoherent group. A plan? I really doubt, they are too busy courting all the enemies of Bashar to have anything concrete to offer except facebook promises.
They are just a bunch of Chalabis…
They have yet to be recognized officially by other countries than Libya and France

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January 28th, 2012, 11:03 am

 

233. irritated said:

218. Uzair8

Jeremy Bowen BBC interview

Nothing new…Bashar seems weaken but not ready to fall.. We have been hearing that for the last 6 months.

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January 28th, 2012, 11:12 am

 

234. zoo said:

Scenarios for the endgame in Syria, which is yours?
January 28, 2012 01:15 AM
By Rami G. Khouri
The Daily Star

Now that the Arab League has decided to ask the United Nations Security Council to back its plan to resolve the crisis in Syria, the prospects of international involvement in Syria inches forward just a bit more. This adds a new dimension to the already fertile debate on how the mounting violence and expanding political crisis will end.

In the last few months, I have heard dozens of scenarios for how things might play out in Syria. Some are plausible, others are fantastic, but all are suggested seriously by usually knowledgeable observers and analysts. They go something like this.

The most common scenario I hear is that tensions and violence will continue to the point in the coming year where economic collapse causes some influential figures in regime of President Bashar Assad to carry out a coup, after despairing that Assad can find a political solution to the crisis. Such a coup would be led by Alawite and Sunni military officers who would recognize the need to make a deal with the demonstrators and send Syria onto a path of serious political democratization, while sparing Alawites widespread retribution after the fall of the House of Assad. A variation of this sees an inside plot to assassinate the top leaders, and bring an immediate end to the crisis.

Another common scenario is that the Russians will recognize that Assad’s approach is doomed to fail and will shift away from their current course of using a veto to prevent Security Council moves to pressure Damascus. In this script, Russia convinces Assad to step down and leave the country with his extended family and their riches.

A variation on this sees a combination of Alawite leaders, military officers and top businessmen collectively deciding that they are all doomed if the current trends persist, and working together to do one of two things: either to engineer a coup and force Assad’s exit, or to sit him down and make clear that they – his pillars of support – see only doom, so that he must turn over power to a democratic transitional leadership before total collapse ruins the country.

A more dramatic possibility in some people’s view is for regional and global powers to impose no-fly zones and safe havens along Syria’s northern and southern borders. This would speed up the regime’s abandonment by tens of thousands of soldiers and civilians, speeding up its collapse from within. This process would be hastened by further economic deterioration impacting on all sectors of society, as tighter international sanctions – including bans on aviation and banking links with Syria – lead to shortages of basic goods and runaway inflation that make it impossible for most Syrians to live a normal life. This would also spark massive anti-regime demonstrations in Damascus and Aleppo, the death knell of the Assads.

A more drastic possibility is that the polarization of Syrian society along ethnic lines and full civil war will reach a point where the unified state collapses, and the Alawites retreat into their mountains to form their own state in their northwestern heartland. Some suggest this has been the aim of the crisis all along, with “outsiders” provoking civil strife to the point where Syria breaks up into statelets, including Alawite, Druze, Kurdish and Sunni entities.

This would occur at the same time as Iraq faces similar disintegration as a unified country and leaves behind Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish entities of some sort. Culprits behind this scenario it is said, of course, is Israel and America, whose desire for hegemony over the Middle East would be made much easier by the presence of weaker ethnic statelets rather than larger, stronger Arab states. In such a scenario, Israel would quickly come to the aid of some of these ethnic statelets – as it tried to do with some Lebanese groups in the 1980s – and thus cement both the fragmentation of the Levant and its dominance of it.

The most terrible scenario sees the deterioration in Syria leading the Assad regime to implement the Sampson Option. It would seek to instigate strife and chaos across the region, in order to plunge the Levant into a regional conflagration. This option would be based on the Assads’ assumption that if they cannot rule over a unified Syria, then nobody in the neighborhood should be able to live in peace and security either. Such a scenario would involve attacking or fomenting strife in Lebanon, Israel, Jordan, Turkey and Iraq, perhaps resulting in the desperate use of chemical or even nuclear weapons.

These are only the most plausible scenarios that are widely circulated in the region these days. The more outrageous ones we will leave for another day to ponder.

Read more: http://www.dailystar.com.lb/Opinion/Columnist/2012/Jan-28/161336-a-terrifying-menu-for-syrias-endgame.ashx#ixzz1klqkCO00
(The Daily Star :: Lebanon News :: http://www.dailystar.com.lb)

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January 28th, 2012, 11:25 am

 

235. zoo said:

If Hamas leaves Syria, where would it go? Neither Jordan nor Egypt want it and Hamas does not seem eager to go to Qatar?

Hamas Divided Over Its Presence in Syria

http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/hamas-divided-over-its-presence-syria

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January 28th, 2012, 11:35 am

 

236. zoo said:

Could this happen in Syria?

Al-Jabouri: Dying to Fight Sectarianism
By: Alaa al-Lami

Published Sunday, January 15, 2012

The self sacrifice of Iraqi army Lieutenant Nazhan Faleh al-Jabouri to save Shia pilgrims poked a hole in the dominant narrative of sectarian strife in Iraq
{..}

http://english.al-akhbar.com/print/3381

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January 28th, 2012, 11:43 am

 

237. Revlon said:

Dear Mu3taz Al Dendeshi,
I have just read on Ugarit News website that مجاهد أحمد العثمان الدندشي
fell martyr earlier today in Telkalakh.

Assuming he was a relative of yours, please accept my sincere condolences.
AlFatiha upon his soul,
May God bless his family with solace and empower them with fortitude.

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January 28th, 2012, 11:49 am

 

238. mjabali said:

I think a very violent era had just started now and you can mark it.

Violence is going to increase and sooner or later Syria is going to DIVIDE.

Violence is going to tear Syria apart and of course it will reach the areas and states around.

As if we need another era of those.

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January 28th, 2012, 12:12 pm

 

239. Revlon said:

Funeral sermon for child Abdallah AlTarshi, victim of Assad forces.
His brothers huddle around his body and reach out to touch his face, while trying their best to hold back their tears!

The sermon is defiant, and the mood in the mosque is choked with rage.

28 01 2012 Homs أوغاريت حمص حي الملعب , مقطع مؤثر لأخوة الشهيد عند نعشه ج4

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January 28th, 2012, 12:13 pm

 

240. ann said:

League of Arab States Observer Mission to Syria

Report of the Head of the League of Arab States Observer Mission to Syria for the period from 24 December 2011 to 18 January 2012

http://www.innercitypress.com/LASomSyria.pdf

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January 28th, 2012, 12:38 pm

 

241. Revlon said:

Syrian peasants, once the benefactors of the Baath Revolution, are now in the driving seat of the revolt against the decadent Assad Baathist system.

Peasants of Quneitra march in funeral procession of one of their sons Ahmad Abu Qasem, while chanting against the Assad’s Baathist regime.

AlFatiha upon his soul,
May God bless his family with solace, and empower them with fortitude.
28 1 2012 Mumtanna, AL Qounaitera أوغاريت ممتنة القنيطرة , تشيع الشهيد أحمد محسن ابوقاسم

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January 28th, 2012, 12:40 pm

 

242. ann said:

Fresh blast targets oil pipeline in eastern Syria – 2012-01-28

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2012-01/28/c_131379954.htm

DAMASCUS, Jan. 28 (Xinhua) — Unidentified gunmen blasted early Saturday an oil pipeline in the eastern Syrian province of Deir al- Zour, causing a huge fire in the area, the private Sham FM radio reported.

The authorities are working to extinguish the ensuing fire of the blast, which took place in al-Qurraia area in the province, the radio said.

It remained unknown who was behind the attack, which was part of a series daring attacks that have been intensified lately in Syria that targeted the oil and gas sectors in an attempt to further strangle the already-ailing economy.

Earlier in January, Syrian Oil Minister Sufian Allaw said that the destructive acts carried out by armed groups against oil pipelines and other related institutions, in addition to European Union’s sanctions on Syrian oil, have extremely damaged the country’s oil business.

Allaw said that the damage that befell oil institutions is estimated at 2.1 billion Syrian pounds (about 35.7 million U.S. dollars).

He meanwhile noted that 21 people were killed and 24 others wounded from the oil sector, in addition to five others who were kidnapped over the past 10 months.

Also, Minister of Electricity Imad Khamis has recently said that the attacks carried out by armed and terrorist groups have inflicted big damage on distribution networks and maintenance workshops.

Khamis said that the direct material damage caused on the networks is valued at nearly 713 million Syrian pounds (12.1 million dollars), whereas the value of indirect economic damage, which hit the national economy, reached around 23 billion Syrian pounds (391 million dollars).

He also said that terrorist attacks at gas pipelines and railways that ferry fuel to power generating stations have undermined some of those institutions while the others are operating with partial capacity.

More than two weeks ago, an armed group attacked a gas pipeline near al-Rastan town in central Syria that feeds al-Zara and al- Zayzoun power stations.

At least six pipelines have been targeted since the eruption of the unrest in Syria in March of 2011. Syria held what it called ” saboteurs” responsible for the attacks.

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January 28th, 2012, 12:47 pm

 

243. Revlon said:

232. Dear irritated:
((Revlon #219
You are giving too much credit to this incoherent group. A plan? I really doubt, they are too busy courting all the enemies of Bashar to have anything concrete to offer except facebook promises.
They are just a bunch of Chalabis…))

Your comment made me curious!
In hind sight, and assuming the proven ability of Saddam Hussein to maintain his grip on power till now and/or the almost certain prospect of his replacement by his son Udai, would you rather had Sadam Husein stayed in power till now?

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January 28th, 2012, 12:49 pm

 

244. ann said:

Seven army men die in ambush near Syrian capital: state media – 2012-01-28

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2012-01/28/c_131380012.htm

DAMASCUS, Jan. 28 (Xinhua) — At least seven army personnel were killed Saturday when an armed group showered their overnight bus with bullets in the countryside of the Syrian capital of Damascus, the official SANA news agency reported.

According to the report, the armed group targeted the bus on the road between the Adra and Douma suburbs of Damascus.

A lieutenant was among the killed, and the bodies of the victims were transported to the Tishreen military hospital in Damascus, SANA added.

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January 28th, 2012, 12:53 pm

 

245. Revlon said:

10 Martyrs have fallen so far in Damascus country side Governorate today, three of whom are still unidentified.

AlFatiha upon their souls,
May God bless their families with solace and empower them with fortitude.
Ugarit News | أوغاريت الإخبارية
28/01/2012
http://www.facebook.com/UgaritNEWS

أوغاريت || ريف دمشق :: أسماء الشهداء حتى الساعة :
1- الشهيد خالد أحمد حيدر – زملكا
2- الشهيد محمد رشيد قنص بالرأس وهو في سيارته – ميداني الاصل – عين ترما
3- الشهيد عبد العزيز طه نخلة – معضمية الشام
4- شهيد آخر لم يصل اسمه – معضمية الشام
5- شهيد من دوما في كفربطنا
6- استشهاد الشاب باسم عدنان دالاتي العمر 19 عام استشهد باعدام ميداني نفذه حاجز في حرستا
7- شهيد جراء القصف على معظم أنحاء الغوطة – حمورية
8- الشهيد عمر قويدر – عربين
9- الشهيد الشاب نادر البني – سقبا
10- الشهيد هيثم المصري / عربين /

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January 28th, 2012, 12:57 pm

 

246. ann said:

Interview: Syria’s anti-colonialism cradle boasts sectarian unity during unrest – 2012-01-29

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/world/2012-01/29/c_131380108.htm

DAMASCUS, Jan. 28 (Xinhua) — A revered minority sheikh of Sweida, the cradle of Syria’s revolutions against foreign occupation over the past century, said in an interview with Xinhua that the southern province’s residents will not revolt against other Syrians during the country’s current crisis.

Wearing a traditional white turban and a black robe, Sheikh Akel of el-Mowahideen el-Druze Sect, Sheikh Abu Wael Hamoud al-Hinawi, said the Syrian sects are not pitted against each other.

The Druze sheikh, who grows a busy moustache, told Xinhua that he will never raise his weapon against another Syrian, whatever his sect might be.

Since last March, Syria has been gripped by protests inspired by movement in other Arab nations. The once peaceful demonstrations aimed at democracy have evolved into armed insurgency with alleged army defectors fighting the government forces.

Damascus said some 2,000 army and security personnel have been killed since the start of the unrest, while the UN reported more than 5,400 deaths.

The current crisis, breaking out in an adjacent city to Sweida, is at a critical juncture as the daily grind of violence has stirred up fears that the country might be sliding toward a civil war.

“What is happening to Syria is tragic and something we never wished for,” Sheikh Hinawi said. “However, the Syrian people, despite their diverse sects, are still united as one fabric and have never fought each other throughout the history.”

Sweida became known as Jabal Druze in the second half of the nineteenth century due to its considerable number of Druze settlements. Its one-million-population was able to obtain autonomy under the Ottoman rule after winning many battles against the Turkish armies.

In the 1930s, Jabal Druze was also referred to as Jabal al-Arab in recognition of the nationalist role played by the Syrian Druze.

Under the leadership of Sultan Pasha al-Atrash, the Druze formed a major military force behind the Great Syrian Revolt against the French from 1925 to 1927. They led a successful revolt against foreign occupation in May 1945, making the Jabal the first and only region in Syria that liberate itself from the French rule without any foreign assistance.

“We, as a Druze sect, do not issue edicts to kill and do not call for inner fighting among Syrians,” Sheikh Hinawi said.

Syrian forces stepped up their crackdown against restive areas in central Syria and the Damascus suburbs over the past couple of days. The government’s patience is running thin and is sending a clear message that it is resolute to settle the situation once and for all and end the spiraling violence, which it blames on armed groups sabotaging the country’s security and stability.

The escalation came after the Arab League’s recent decision to turn to the UN Security Council for support for its new plan over the Syrian crisis, which calls for the formation of a national unity government that excludes incumbent Syrian President Bashar Assad. The plan was denounced by Damascus as a flagrant interference in the country’s internal affairs. Millions of Syrians also took to the streets to voice their rejection of the plan.

Sheik Hinawi said the Arab League should work for the unity of the Arab world and heal the wounds.

“The Arab League should work to assist the Syrian people by taking an evenhanded and honest stand,” he said. “Had there been corruption in the country, it couldn’t be abated by killing and destruction… it can be eradicated by reforms.”

He stressed that the Druze support the process of reforms, noting that they are not bystanders to the crisis.

“We have put forward our own vision and made contacts with the Syrian political leadership in an effort to help ride out the crisis, because the responsibility to resolve the crisis lies on every Syrian, regardless of their sects,” he said.

However, the sheikh stopped short of expounding the nature of their initiative and the government’s response to it.

“The homeland is what matters most to us… we have to protect it from foreign conspiracy,” he said, adding that reforms cannot come from outside the country.

Sheik Hinawi shrugged off allegations that the crisis would enflame tensions among Syria’s complicated mix of religions. Most of Syrians are Sunni Muslims but there are other minorities.

He said members of his Druze minority, an offshoot of Islam, are “Syrian nationals” who would never accept attempts to stir up sectarian fighting.

“Even if there are some media outlets saying Syria is on the brink of a sectarian rift, this is their own business… we will never call for any fighting except to defend out homeland,” Hinawi stressed.

The Syrian opposition is still struggling to find a unified voice and has been careful to paint their movement as free of any sectarian overtones.

Sheikh Hinawi appealed to all Syrians to launch a national dialogue involving all spectra of ethnicities. “We call on all Syrians, and the Arab League, to salvage Syria.”

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January 28th, 2012, 1:00 pm

 

247. irritated said:

243. Revlon

You are comparing Saddam to Bashar.. That’s a compliment to Saddam.

You obviously prefer to see regime changes by violence followed by decades of chaos. We have examples all around us.
Like the Russians, I prefer to see common sense and dialog to prevail, not hysteria.
If the Arab league had common sense, they would have pushed for a resolution calling for a referendum in Syria on the reforms proposed by the regime under the UN supervision, instead of sanctions and military threats.
They should have tried to calm down the spirits instead of enflaming them more.
That would have shown what the Syrian really want instead of polls and media making just assumptions on who is for or against the regime.

Now it may be too late and the blow up may spill blood on the Syrians in Syria in the total indifference of the western world.

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January 28th, 2012, 1:05 pm

 

248. Revlon said:

Aleppo this weekend looks no different than Saqba or Midan of Damascus
27 1 2012
Aleppo, AlMarjeh
27 1 Aleppo أوغاريت حلب حي المرجة , شجاعة الابطال في مواجهة الامن جمعة حق الدفاع عن النفس

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January 28th, 2012, 1:12 pm

 

249. Revlon said:

247. Dear irritated,
You have dodged the question!
I am still waiting for an answer!

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January 28th, 2012, 1:14 pm

 

250. Alan said:

158. JAD
أكدت مصادر إسرائيلية أن إسرائيل زودت مسلحي “الجيش السوري الحر” بقواذف مضادة للدروع من طراز Shipon B-300.

The Kh-35E (3M-24E) tactical missile Can be the answer for Israel!

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January 28th, 2012, 1:16 pm

 

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